Should I start Josh Allen or Trevor Lawrence in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Josh Allen's market-based projection is 22.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 3rd highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Trevor Lawrence's market-based projection is 17.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 14th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Allen, and the board ranks him 43rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 2.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Trevor Lawrence, and the board ranks him 86th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Josh Allen has been on the field for 99 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 237 times and thrown 9.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 32 of 237 dropbacks and scrambled 19 times.

In Week 5 against LAR he completed 12 of 19 passes for 210 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 10 times for 121 yards.

In Week 6 against LV he completed 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 4 yards.

In Week 8 against BAL he completed 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 7 times for 30 yards.

Through Week 8, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 95 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 219 times and thrown 8.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 36 of 219 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 5 against PHI he completed 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 25 yards.

In Week 6 against HOU he completed 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 8 against IND he completed 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Allen played 17 games and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He threw for 3668 yards on 460 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

That came to 27.1 attempts a game at 8.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Josh Allen scored 22.0 PPR points a game and Trevor Lawrence 20.6, 1.4 a game between them.

Josh Allen finished QB1 that year and Trevor Lawrence QB4.

Trevor Lawrence had 100 more pass attempts than Josh Allen, 560 to 460.

Trevor Lawrence had 339 more passing yards than Josh Allen, 4007 to 3668.

This season Josh Allen holds the bigger snap share, 99 percent against 95 percent.

This season Josh Allen holds the bigger target share, 1 percent against 0 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 7, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

5.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.