Start Josh Allen or Trevor Lawrence? Week 9

Our Week 9 call

Start Josh Allen over Trevor Lawrence in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Josh Allen at 22.4 points and Trevor Lawrence at 17.1, a gap of 5.3. Drafters take Josh Allen at ADP 31 and Trevor Lawrence at 97.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 22.4 fantasy points for Josh Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Josh Allen is 237 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 0-1 interceptions, 31 rushing yards and 0.8 rushing touchdowns (6, 6, 5, 6 and 8 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.1 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Trevor Lawrence is 236 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 12 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (13, 15, 10 and 13 market sources).

That puts Josh Allen 5.3 points ahead of Trevor Lawrence on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

MIN allowed 8.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 180 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIN, with 1.1 interceptions a game.

Trevor Lawrence and JAX visit BAL on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 242 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against BAL, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Josh Allen played 99 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 237 times and threw an average of 9.0 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 4 against NE: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 4 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 5 against LAR: 64 of 64 snaps, 12 of 19 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 10 carries for 121 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 6 against LV: 68 of 68 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 8 against BAL: 78 of 82 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 7 carries for 30 yards.

Through Week 8, Trevor Lawrence played 95 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 219 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 6 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 8 against IND: 44 of 54 snaps, 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

• Start Josh Allen over Brock Purdy.
• Start Josh Allen over Caleb Williams.
• Start Josh Allen over C.J. Stroud.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix.
• Start Brock Purdy over Trevor Lawrence.