Aaron Gordon vs Franz Wagner: who to start in Week 3
Aaron Gordon plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Franz Wagner 3. For that week alone, start Franz Wagner: 105.0 projected fantasy points to 83.7 for Aaron Gordon. Over the season, Franz Wagner leads in both formats: 35.0 fantasy points a game to 27.9, and 118th against 131st in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #114
- 27.9 FP/G, slot 10.06, $7
- 9-cat leagues
- #131
- -2.0 z, slot 11.11, $4
- Points leagues
- #55
- 35.0 FP/G, slot 5.07, $18
- 9-cat leagues
- #118
- -1.6 z, slot 10.10, $6
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Franz Wagner. 35.0 fantasy points per game against 27.9, 55th on our board to 114th.
9-cat leagues: Franz Wagner again, -1.6 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (118th to 131st).
Category by category, Aaron Gordon is ahead in 5 (REB, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO) and Franz Wagner in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Franz Wagner produces more: 39.6 fantasy points to 35.1, on 31.8 minutes a night against 28.6. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Aaron Gordon plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Franz Wagner 3. For that week alone, start Franz Wagner: 105.0 projected fantasy points to 83.7 for Aaron Gordon.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Aaron Gordon | Franz Wagner |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 27.9 | 35.0 |
| Minutes | 28.6 | 31.8 |
| PointsPTS | 14.8 | 20.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.9 | 5.5 |
| AssistsAST | 2.7 | 4.7 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Threes3PM | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 46.4% | 45.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 78.9% | 81.4% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 36 | 34 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Aaron Gordon | Franz Wagner |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 35.1 | 39.6 |
| Points | 18.7 | 23.1 |
| Rebounds | 7.4 | 6.2 |
| Assists | 3.4 | 5.3 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Threes | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Turnovers | 1.5 | 2.8 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Aaron Gordon | Franz Wagner |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.3 | +0.7 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.0 | -0.1 |
| AssistsAST | -0.5 | +0.4 |
| StealsSTL | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | -0.9 |
| Threes3PM | -0.1 | -0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.3 | -0.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | +0.3 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.0 | -0.7 |
| Total | -2.0 | -1.6 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, assists, steals and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Aaron Gordon.
| Punt | Aaron Gordon | Franz Wagner |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.6 (#150) | -2.4 (#190) |
| REB | -2.2 (#144) | -1.6 (#121) |
| AST | -1.5 (#123) | -2.2 (#162) |
| STL | -1.2 (#104) | -1.3 (#108) |
| BLK | -1.4 (#110) | -0.9 (#93) |
| 3PM | -1.9 (#139) | -1.4 (#112) |
| FG% | -1.9 (#124) | -1.4 (#105) |
| FT% | -1.8 (#130) | -2.0 (#141) |
| TO | -3.0 (#145) | -1.0 (#85) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Aaron Gordon: 3 games (Mon POR, Wed TOR, Sat @IND).
- Franz Wagner: 3 games (Mon WAS, Thu @PHX, Sat @GSW), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Aaron Gordon: 25.9 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 27.9 on the board.
- Franz Wagner: 37.4 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 35.0 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Aaron Gordon playing tonight? · Is Franz Wagner playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Aaron Gordon, Franz Wagner
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Aaron Gordon or Franz Wagner?
Points leagues: Franz Wagner. 35.0 fantasy points per game against 27.9, 55th on our board to 114th. 9-cat leagues: Franz Wagner again, -1.6 in summed z-scores against -2.0 (118th to 131st).
Who wins more categories, Aaron Gordon or Franz Wagner?
Category by category, Aaron Gordon is ahead in 5 (REB, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO) and Franz Wagner in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 3, Aaron Gordon or Franz Wagner?
Aaron Gordon plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Franz Wagner 3. For that week alone, start Franz Wagner: 105.0 projected fantasy points to 83.7 for Aaron Gordon.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number