Aaron Wiggins vs Al Horford: who to start in Week 3
Aaron Wiggins plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Al Horford 3. For that week alone, start Aaron Wiggins: 81.3 projected fantasy points to 59.5 for Al Horford. Over the season, Aaron Wiggins leads in points leagues (20.3 fantasy points a game to 19.8) and Al Horford in 9-cat leagues (185th against 199th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #209
- 20.3 FP/G, slot 18.05
- 9-cat leagues
- #199
- -3.7 z, slot 17.07
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #220
- 19.8 FP/G, slot 19.04
- 9-cat leagues
- #185
- -3.2 z, slot 16.05
Day to day (Rest)
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Aaron Wiggins. 20.3 fantasy points per game against 19.8, 209th on our board to 220th.
9-cat leagues: Al Horford instead, -3.2 in summed z-scores against -3.7 (185th to 199th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Aaron Wiggins is ahead in 4 (PTS, STL, 3PM and FG%) and Al Horford in 5 (REB, AST, BLK, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Al Horford produces more: 34.5 fantasy points to 31.8, on 20.7 minutes a night against 23.0. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Aaron Wiggins plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Al Horford 3. For that week alone, start Aaron Wiggins: 81.3 projected fantasy points to 59.5 for Al Horford.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Aaron Wiggins | Al Horford |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 20.3 | 19.8 |
| Minutes | 23.0 | 20.7 |
| PointsPTS | 10.9 | 7.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.3 | 4.6 |
| AssistsAST | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| StealsSTL | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Threes3PM | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.4% | 42.2% |
| Free throw %FT% | 70.0% | 75.9% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 65 | 45 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Aaron Wiggins | Al Horford |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 31.8 | 34.5 |
| Points | 17.1 | 12.7 |
| Rebounds | 5.1 | 8.0 |
| Assists | 2.7 | 3.7 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 1.7 |
| Threes | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Aaron Wiggins | Al Horford |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.0 | -1.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.1 | -0.5 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | -0.8 |
| StealsSTL | -0.3 | -1.3 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.5 | +0.7 |
| Threes3PM | +0.2 | -0.1 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.5 | -0.6 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.0 | +1.3 |
| Total | -3.7 | -3.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds and blocks flips the 9-cat answer to Aaron Wiggins.
| Punt | Aaron Wiggins | Al Horford |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.7 (#206) | -1.5 (#136) |
| REB | -2.7 (#179) | -2.8 (#183) |
| AST | -2.8 (#191) | -2.4 (#171) |
| STL | -3.5 (#221) | -1.9 (#146) |
| BLK | -3.4 (#184) | -4.1 (#223) |
| 3PM | -3.9 (#232) | -3.0 (#188) |
| FG% | -3.4 (#179) | -2.7 (#152) |
| FT% | -3.4 (#198) | -3.1 (#191) |
| TO | -4.8 (#204) | -4.6 (#196) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Aaron Wiggins: 4 games (Mon @IND, Wed @WAS, Fri WAS, Sat BKN), 1 back-to-back.
- Al Horford: 3 games (Mon PHX, Thu MIA, Sat ORL), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
Recent games
- Aaron Wiggins: 23.9 fantasy points a game over his last 8 of 2026-27, against 20.3 on the board.
- Al Horford: 13.3 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 19.8 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Aaron Wiggins playing tonight? · Is Al Horford playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Aaron Wiggins or Al Horford?
Points leagues: Aaron Wiggins. 20.3 fantasy points per game against 19.8, 209th on our board to 220th. 9-cat leagues: Al Horford instead, -3.2 in summed z-scores against -3.7 (185th to 199th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Aaron Wiggins or Al Horford?
Category by category, Aaron Wiggins is ahead in 4 (PTS, STL, 3PM and FG%) and Al Horford in 5 (REB, AST, BLK, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Aaron Wiggins or Al Horford?
Aaron Wiggins plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Al Horford 3. For that week alone, start Aaron Wiggins: 81.3 projected fantasy points to 59.5 for Al Horford.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number