Al Horford vs Dean Wade: who to start in Week 3
Al Horford plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Dean Wade 4. For that week alone, start Dean Wade: 67.9 projected fantasy points to 59.5 for Al Horford. Over the season, Al Horford leads in points leagues (19.8 fantasy points a game to 17.0) and Dean Wade in 9-cat leagues (184th against 185th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #220
- 19.8 FP/G, slot 19.04
- 9-cat leagues
- #185
- -3.2 z, slot 16.05
Day to day (Rest)
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #261
- 17.0 FP/G, slot 22.09
- 9-cat leagues
- #184
- -3.2 z, slot 16.04
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Al Horford. 19.8 fantasy points per game against 17.0, 220th on our board to 261st.
9-cat leagues: Dean Wade instead, -3.2 in summed z-scores against -3.2 (184th to 185th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Al Horford is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Dean Wade in 3 (STL, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Al Horford produces more: 34.5 fantasy points to 25.8, on 20.7 minutes a night against 23.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Al Horford plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Dean Wade 4. For that week alone, start Dean Wade: 67.9 projected fantasy points to 59.5 for Al Horford.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Al Horford | Dean Wade |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 19.8 | 17.0 |
| Minutes | 20.7 | 23.7 |
| PointsPTS | 7.3 | 5.4 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.6 | 3.8 |
| AssistsAST | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Threes3PM | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Field goal %FG% | 42.2% | 45.6% |
| Free throw %FT% | 75.9% | 67.3% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 45 | 59 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Al Horford | Dean Wade |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 34.5 | 25.8 |
| Points | 12.7 | 8.2 |
| Rebounds | 8.0 | 5.8 |
| Assists | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Blocks | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Threes | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Turnovers | 1.7 | 0.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Al Horford | Dean Wade |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.7 | -2.0 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.5 | -0.9 |
| AssistsAST | -0.8 | -1.0 |
| StealsSTL | -1.3 | +0.1 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.7 | -0.4 |
| Threes3PM | -0.1 | -0.6 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.3 | +2.1 |
| Total | -3.2 | -3.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Al Horford.
| Punt | Al Horford | Dean Wade |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.5 (#136) | -1.2 (#123) |
| REB | -2.8 (#183) | -2.5 (#164) |
| AST | -2.4 (#171) | -2.2 (#161) |
| STL | -1.9 (#146) | -3.4 (#208) |
| BLK | -4.1 (#223) | -3.0 (#170) |
| 3PM | -3.0 (#188) | -2.5 (#171) |
| FG% | -2.7 (#152) | -3.3 (#175) |
| FT% | -3.1 (#191) | -2.8 (#181) |
| TO | -4.6 (#196) | -5.5 (#230) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Al Horford: 3 games (Mon PHX, Thu MIA, Sat ORL), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
- Dean Wade: 4 games (Mon CHI, Wed @DET, Fri @CLE, Sun @CHI).
Recent games
- Al Horford: 13.3 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 19.8 on the board.
- Dean Wade: 18.9 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 17.0 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Al Horford playing tonight? · Is Dean Wade playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Al Horford or Dean Wade?
Points leagues: Al Horford. 19.8 fantasy points per game against 17.0, 220th on our board to 261st. 9-cat leagues: Dean Wade instead, -3.2 in summed z-scores against -3.2 (184th to 185th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Al Horford or Dean Wade?
Category by category, Al Horford is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Dean Wade in 3 (STL, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Al Horford or Dean Wade?
Al Horford plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Dean Wade 4. For that week alone, start Dean Wade: 67.9 projected fantasy points to 59.5 for Al Horford.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number