Ace Bailey vs Andrew Wiggins: who to start in Week 3
Ace Bailey plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Andrew Wiggins 4. For that week alone, start Andrew Wiggins: 105.4 projected fantasy points to 103.9 for Ace Bailey. Over the season, Andrew Wiggins leads in both formats: 26.3 fantasy points a game to 26.0, and 104th against 149th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #136
- 26.0 FP/G, slot 12.04, $4
- 9-cat leagues
- #149
- -2.3 z, slot 13.05, $2
- Points leagues
- #133
- 26.3 FP/G, slot 12.01, $5
- 9-cat leagues
- #104
- -1.4 z, slot 9.08, $8
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Andrew Wiggins. 26.3 fantasy points per game against 26.0, 133rd on our board to 136th.
9-cat leagues: Andrew Wiggins again, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -2.3 (104th to 149th).
Category by category, Ace Bailey is ahead in 2 (REB and BLK) and Andrew Wiggins in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Ace Bailey produces more: 32.9 fantasy points to 32.4, on 28.4 minutes a night against 29.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Ace Bailey plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Andrew Wiggins 4. For that week alone, start Andrew Wiggins: 105.4 projected fantasy points to 103.9 for Ace Bailey.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Ace Bailey | Andrew Wiggins |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 26.0 | 26.3 |
| Minutes | 28.4 | 29.2 |
| PointsPTS | 13.3 | 13.8 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.3 | 4.1 |
| AssistsAST | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Threes3PM | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.7% | 46.7% |
| Free throw %FT% | 75.0% | 76.7% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 72 | 68 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Ace Bailey | Andrew Wiggins |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 32.9 | 32.4 |
| Points | 16.8 | 16.9 |
| Rebounds | 6.7 | 5.1 |
| Assists | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Threes | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Ace Bailey | Andrew Wiggins |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.2 | -0.7 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | -0.8 |
| StealsSTL | -0.9 | -0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.6 | +0.5 |
| Threes3PM | +0.1 | +0.1 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.6 | +0.8 |
| Total | -2.3 | -1.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Andrew Wiggins stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Ace Bailey | Andrew Wiggins |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.7 (#158) | -0.9 (#103) |
| REB | -2.2 (#146) | -0.7 (#90) |
| AST | -1.5 (#120) | -0.7 (#80) |
| STL | -1.4 (#115) | -1.2 (#100) |
| BLK | -3.1 (#174) | -2.0 (#133) |
| 3PM | -2.4 (#165) | -1.6 (#121) |
| FG% | -1.8 (#117) | -1.3 (#100) |
| FT% | -2.2 (#154) | -1.2 (#101) |
| TO | -3.0 (#141) | -2.2 (#118) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Ace Bailey: 4 games (Mon @SAS, Wed @NOP, Fri @DAL, Sun @MIN).
- Andrew Wiggins: 4 games (Mon @LAL, Wed @LAC, Thu @GSW, Sun @SAC), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Ace Bailey: 28.9 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 26.0 on the board.
- Andrew Wiggins: 18.4 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 26.3 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Ace Bailey playing tonight? · Is Andrew Wiggins playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Ace Bailey, Andrew Wiggins
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Ace Bailey or Andrew Wiggins?
Points leagues: Andrew Wiggins. 26.3 fantasy points per game against 26.0, 133rd on our board to 136th. 9-cat leagues: Andrew Wiggins again, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -2.3 (104th to 149th).
Who wins more categories, Ace Bailey or Andrew Wiggins?
Category by category, Ace Bailey is ahead in 2 (REB and BLK) and Andrew Wiggins in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Ace Bailey or Andrew Wiggins?
Ace Bailey plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Andrew Wiggins 4. For that week alone, start Andrew Wiggins: 105.4 projected fantasy points to 103.9 for Ace Bailey.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number