Ace Bailey vs Naz Reid: who to start in Week 3
Ace Bailey plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Naz Reid 3. For that week alone, start Ace Bailey: 103.9 projected fantasy points to 86.2 for Naz Reid. Over the season, Naz Reid leads in both formats: 28.7 fantasy points a game to 26.0, and 147th against 149th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #136
- 26.0 FP/G, slot 12.04, $4
- 9-cat leagues
- #149
- -2.3 z, slot 13.05, $2
- Points leagues
- #103
- 28.7 FP/G, slot 9.07, $9
- 9-cat leagues
- #147
- -2.3 z, slot 13.03, $2
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Naz Reid. 28.7 fantasy points per game against 26.0, 103rd on our board to 136th.
9-cat leagues: Naz Reid again, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -2.3 (147th to 149th).
Category by category, Ace Bailey is ahead in 4 (BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Naz Reid in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, STL and 3PM).
Per 36 minutes, Naz Reid produces more: 38.4 fantasy points to 32.9, on 27.0 minutes a night against 28.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Ace Bailey plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Naz Reid 3. For that week alone, start Ace Bailey: 103.9 projected fantasy points to 86.2 for Naz Reid.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Ace Bailey | Naz Reid |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 26.0 | 28.7 |
| Minutes | 28.4 | 27.0 |
| PointsPTS | 13.3 | 14.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.3 | 6.9 |
| AssistsAST | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Threes3PM | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.7% | 43.1% |
| Free throw %FT% | 75.0% | 68.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 72 | 77 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Ace Bailey | Naz Reid |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 32.9 | 38.4 |
| Points | 16.8 | 19.0 |
| Rebounds | 6.7 | 9.2 |
| Assists | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Blocks | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Threes | 2.2 | 2.9 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 2.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Ace Bailey | Naz Reid |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -0.4 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.2 | +0.5 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | -0.9 |
| StealsSTL | -0.9 | -0.5 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.6 | +0.3 |
| Threes3PM | +0.1 | +0.5 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.6 | -1.0 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | -0.7 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.6 | -0.1 |
| Total | -2.3 | -2.3 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, assists, steals and threes flips the 9-cat answer to Ace Bailey.
| Punt | Ace Bailey | Naz Reid |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.7 (#158) | -1.9 (#166) |
| REB | -2.2 (#146) | -2.8 (#186) |
| AST | -1.5 (#120) | -1.5 (#124) |
| STL | -1.4 (#115) | -1.8 (#133) |
| BLK | -3.1 (#174) | -2.8 (#161) |
| 3PM | -2.4 (#165) | -2.8 (#183) |
| FG% | -1.8 (#117) | -1.5 (#107) |
| FT% | -2.2 (#154) | -1.6 (#123) |
| TO | -3.0 (#141) | -2.3 (#120) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Ace Bailey: 4 games (Mon @SAS, Wed @NOP, Fri @DAL, Sun @MIN).
- Naz Reid: 3 games (Mon DET, Wed @BKN, Fri BOS).
Recent games
- Ace Bailey: 28.9 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 26.0 on the board.
- Naz Reid: 28.8 fantasy points a game over his last 8 of 2026-27, against 28.7 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Ace Bailey playing tonight? · Is Naz Reid playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Ace Bailey, Naz Reid
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Ace Bailey or Naz Reid?
Points leagues: Naz Reid. 28.7 fantasy points per game against 26.0, 103rd on our board to 136th. 9-cat leagues: Naz Reid again, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -2.3 (147th to 149th).
Who wins more categories, Ace Bailey or Naz Reid?
Category by category, Ace Bailey is ahead in 4 (BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Naz Reid in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, STL and 3PM).
Who should I start in Week 3, Ace Bailey or Naz Reid?
Ace Bailey plays 4 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Naz Reid 3. For that week alone, start Ace Bailey: 103.9 projected fantasy points to 86.2 for Naz Reid.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number