Ajay Mitchell vs Tobias Harris: who to start in Week 1
Ajay Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tobias Harris 3. For that week alone, start Tobias Harris: 78.5 projected fantasy points to 77.5 for Ajay Mitchell. Over the season, Tobias Harris leads in both formats: 26.2 fantasy points a game to 25.8, and 95th against 98th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 25, 10:29 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #125
- 25.8 FP/G, slot 11.05, $5
- 9-cat leagues
- #98
- -1.3 z, slot 9.02, $8
- Points leagues
- #123
- 26.2 FP/G, slot 11.03, $6
- 9-cat leagues
- #95
- -1.2 z, slot 8.11, $8
Day to day (Calf)
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Tobias Harris. 26.2 fantasy points per game against 25.8, 123rd on our board to 125th.
9-cat leagues: Tobias Harris again, -1.2 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (95th to 98th).
Category by category, Ajay Mitchell is ahead in 4 (AST, STL, FG% and FT%) and Tobias Harris in 5 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Ajay Mitchell produces more: 36.4 fantasy points to 34.0, on 25.5 minutes a night against 27.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Ajay Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tobias Harris 3. For that week alone, start Tobias Harris: 78.5 projected fantasy points to 77.5 for Ajay Mitchell.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Ajay Mitchell | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 25.8 | 26.2 |
| Minutes | 25.5 | 27.7 |
| PointsPTS | 12.9 | 13.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.2 | 5.1 |
| AssistsAST | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| StealsSTL | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 47.2% | 46.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 87.6% | 86.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 57 | 63 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Ajay Mitchell | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 36.4 | 34.0 |
| Points | 18.2 | 17.2 |
| Rebounds | 4.6 | 6.7 |
| Assists | 5.0 | 3.2 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 1.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Ajay Mitchell | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.1 | -0.3 |
| AssistsAST | -0.0 | -0.6 |
| StealsSTL | +1.0 | -0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.7 | -0.6 |
| Threes3PM | -0.7 | -0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.2 | -0.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.7 | +0.5 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.5 | +1.1 |
| Total | -1.3 | -1.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, blocks, threes and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Ajay Mitchell.
| Punt | Ajay Mitchell | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.7 (#94) | -0.7 (#92) |
| REB | -0.2 (#60) | -1.0 (#92) |
| AST | -1.3 (#116) | -0.7 (#85) |
| STL | -2.4 (#155) | -1.0 (#92) |
| BLK | -0.7 (#81) | -0.8 (#83) |
| 3PM | -0.7 (#83) | -0.9 (#94) |
| FG% | -1.2 (#91) | -1.0 (#87) |
| FT% | -2.0 (#140) | -1.8 (#130) |
| TO | -1.9 (#103) | -2.4 (#120) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Ajay Mitchell: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC).
- Tobias Harris: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
Recent games
- Ajay Mitchell: 22.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 25.8 on the board.
- Tobias Harris: 29.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 26.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Ajay Mitchell playing tonight? · Is Tobias Harris playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Ajay Mitchell, Tobias Harris
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Ajay Mitchell or Tobias Harris?
Points leagues: Tobias Harris. 26.2 fantasy points per game against 25.8, 123rd on our board to 125th. 9-cat leagues: Tobias Harris again, -1.2 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (95th to 98th).
Who wins more categories, Ajay Mitchell or Tobias Harris?
Category by category, Ajay Mitchell is ahead in 4 (AST, STL, FG% and FT%) and Tobias Harris in 5 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Ajay Mitchell or Tobias Harris?
Ajay Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tobias Harris 3. For that week alone, start Tobias Harris: 78.5 projected fantasy points to 77.5 for Ajay Mitchell.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 10:29 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number