Paolo Banchero vs Tobias Harris: who to start in Week 1
Paolo Banchero plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tobias Harris 3, an even 0.0 projected fantasy points each. Over the season, Paolo Banchero leads in both formats: 41.0 fantasy points a game to 26.2, and 94th against 95th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 25, 8:28 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #20
- 41.0 FP/G, slot 2.08, $28
- 9-cat leagues
- #94
- -1.2 z, slot 8.10, $9
Out (Ankle)
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #123
- 26.2 FP/G, slot 11.03, $6
- 9-cat leagues
- #95
- -1.2 z, slot 8.11, $8
Out (Calf)
The call
Points leagues: Paolo Banchero. 41.0 fantasy points per game against 26.2, 20th on our board to 123rd.
9-cat leagues: Paolo Banchero again, -1.2 in summed z-scores against -1.2 (94th to 95th).
Category by category, Paolo Banchero is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK and FG%) and Tobias Harris in 4 (STL, 3PM, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Paolo Banchero produces more: 42.5 fantasy points to 34.0, on 34.7 minutes a night against 27.7. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Paolo Banchero plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tobias Harris 3, an even 0.0 projected fantasy points each.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Paolo Banchero | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 41.0 | 26.2 |
| Minutes | 34.7 | 27.7 |
| PointsPTS | 22.5 | 13.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 8.2 | 5.1 |
| AssistsAST | 5.5 | 2.5 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.0% | 46.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 76.4% | 86.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 72 | 63 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Paolo Banchero | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 42.5 | 34.0 |
| Points | 23.3 | 17.2 |
| Rebounds | 8.5 | 6.7 |
| Assists | 5.7 | 3.2 |
| Steals | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Turnovers | 3.3 | 1.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Paolo Banchero | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +1.1 | -0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | +1.1 | -0.3 |
| AssistsAST | +0.9 | -0.6 |
| StealsSTL | -0.8 | -0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.4 | -0.6 |
| Threes3PM | -0.5 | -0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.9 | +0.5 |
| TurnoversTO | -1.6 | +1.1 |
| Total | -1.2 | -1.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, assists, blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Tobias Harris.
| Punt | Paolo Banchero | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.3 (#185) | -0.7 (#92) |
| REB | -2.6 (#171) | -1.0 (#92) |
| AST | -2.2 (#160) | -0.7 (#85) |
| STL | -0.4 (#73) | -1.0 (#92) |
| BLK | -1.1 (#95) | -0.8 (#83) |
| 3PM | -0.8 (#85) | -0.9 (#94) |
| FG% | -1.9 (#117) | -1.0 (#87) |
| FT% | -0.3 (#71) | -1.8 (#130) |
| TO | +0.5 (#52) | -2.4 (#120) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Paolo Banchero: 3 games (Wed ATL, Fri MIN, Sun @NYK), listed Out.
- Tobias Harris: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
Recent games
- Paolo Banchero: 42.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 41.0 on the board.
- Tobias Harris: 29.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 26.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Paolo Banchero playing tonight? · Is Tobias Harris playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Paolo Banchero, Tobias Harris
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Paolo Banchero or Tobias Harris?
Points leagues: Paolo Banchero. 41.0 fantasy points per game against 26.2, 20th on our board to 123rd. 9-cat leagues: Paolo Banchero again, -1.2 in summed z-scores against -1.2 (94th to 95th).
Who wins more categories, Paolo Banchero or Tobias Harris?
Category by category, Paolo Banchero is ahead in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, BLK and FG%) and Tobias Harris in 4 (STL, 3PM, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Paolo Banchero or Tobias Harris?
Paolo Banchero plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tobias Harris 3, an even 0.0 projected fantasy points each.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 8:28 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number