Al Horford vs Duncan Robinson: who to start in Week 2
Al Horford plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Duncan Robinson 3. For that week alone, start Al Horford: 85.0 projected fantasy points to 64.3 for Duncan Robinson. Over the season, Duncan Robinson leads in both formats: 21.4 fantasy points a game to 21.3, and 146th against 148th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 26, 2:30 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #183
- 21.3 FP/G, slot 16.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #148
- -2.3 z, slot 13.04, $2
- Points leagues
- #178
- 21.4 FP/G, slot 15.10
- 9-cat leagues
- #146
- -2.3 z, slot 13.02, $2
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Duncan Robinson. 21.4 fantasy points per game against 21.3, 178th on our board to 183rd.
9-cat leagues: Duncan Robinson again, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -2.3 (146th to 148th).
Category by category, Al Horford is ahead in 4 (REB, AST, BLK and FT%) and Duncan Robinson in 3 (PTS, 3PM and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Al Horford produces more: 36.1 fantasy points to 27.9, on 21.2 minutes a night against 27.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Al Horford plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Duncan Robinson 3. For that week alone, start Al Horford: 85.0 projected fantasy points to 64.3 for Duncan Robinson.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Al Horford | Duncan Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.3 | 21.4 |
| Minutes | 21.2 | 27.7 |
| PointsPTS | 7.5 | 13.4 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.8 | 2.6 |
| AssistsAST | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Threes3PM | 1.5 | 3.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 41.2% | 45.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 84.6% | 77.3% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 45 | 77 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Al Horford | Duncan Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 36.1 | 27.9 |
| Points | 12.7 | 17.5 |
| Rebounds | 8.2 | 3.3 |
| Assists | 4.1 | 2.7 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 1.9 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 2.6 | 4.2 |
| Turnovers | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Al Horford | Duncan Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.6 | -0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.4 | -1.4 |
| AssistsAST | -0.6 | -0.8 |
| StealsSTL | -1.0 | -1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.9 | -0.9 |
| Threes3PM | -0.2 | +1.6 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.1 | -0.2 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.2 | +1.3 |
| Total | -2.3 | -2.3 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, steals, threes and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Al Horford.
| Punt | Al Horford | Duncan Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.8 (#94) | -1.9 (#161) |
| REB | -2.1 (#143) | -1.0 (#87) |
| AST | -1.7 (#134) | -1.7 (#133) |
| STL | -1.4 (#118) | -1.4 (#119) |
| BLK | -3.5 (#194) | -1.5 (#114) |
| 3PM | -2.2 (#149) | -4.0 (#225) |
| FG% | -1.6 (#107) | -1.9 (#118) |
| FT% | -2.4 (#156) | -2.3 (#152) |
| TO | -3.7 (#165) | -3.6 (#163) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Al Horford: 4 games (Mon @DEN, Wed @MIN, Fri LAL, Sun LAC).
- Duncan Robinson: 3 games (Tue @NYK, Wed CHA, Fri @BKN), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Al Horford: 12.4 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.3 on the board.
- Duncan Robinson: 26.9 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 21.4 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Al Horford playing tonight? · Is Duncan Robinson playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Al Horford or Duncan Robinson?
Points leagues: Duncan Robinson. 21.4 fantasy points per game against 21.3, 178th on our board to 183rd. 9-cat leagues: Duncan Robinson again, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -2.3 (146th to 148th).
Who wins more categories, Al Horford or Duncan Robinson?
Category by category, Al Horford is ahead in 4 (REB, AST, BLK and FT%) and Duncan Robinson in 3 (PTS, 3PM and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 2, Al Horford or Duncan Robinson?
Al Horford plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Duncan Robinson 3. For that week alone, start Al Horford: 85.0 projected fantasy points to 64.3 for Duncan Robinson.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number