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Duncan Robinson vs Jordan Poole: who to start in Week 1

Duncan Robinson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jordan Poole 3, an even 62.2 projected fantasy points each. Over the season, Jordan Poole leads in points leagues (20.7 fantasy points a game to 20.7) and Duncan Robinson in 9-cat leagues (168th against 273rd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET.

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Duncan Robinson
SFSGDETage 32
Points leagues
#197
20.7 FP/G, slot 17.05
9-cat leagues
#168
-2.9 z, slot 14.12

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Jordan Poole
PGSGNOPage 27
Points leagues
#196
20.7 FP/G, slot 17.04
9-cat leagues
#273
-5.4 z, slot 23.09

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Jordan Poole. 20.7 fantasy points per game against 20.7, 196th on our board to 197th.

9-cat leagues: Duncan Robinson instead, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -5.4 (168th to 273rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Duncan Robinson is ahead in 5 (REB, STL, 3PM, FG% and TO) and Jordan Poole in 3 (AST, BLK and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Jordan Poole produces more: 32.0 fantasy points to 27.2, on 23.4 minutes a night against 27.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Duncan Robinson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jordan Poole 3, an even 62.2 projected fantasy points each.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDuncan RobinsonJordan Poole
Fantasy points per game20.720.7
Minutes27.523.4
PointsPTS12.712.8
ReboundsREB2.62.0
AssistsAST2.13.0
StealsSTL0.60.5
BlocksBLK0.30.4
Threes3PM3.02.3
Field goal %FG%45.9%36.3%
Free throw %FT%75.3%87.1%
TurnoversTO0.81.7
Games, 2025-267739

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Duncan RobinsonJordan Poole
Fantasy points27.232.0
Points16.719.8
Rebounds3.43.0
Assists2.74.7
Steals0.80.8
Blocks0.40.6
Threes3.93.6
Turnovers1.12.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDuncan RobinsonJordan Poole
PointsPTS-0.6-0.6
ReboundsREB-1.4-1.7
AssistsAST-0.8-0.3
StealsSTL-1.2-1.4
BlocksBLK-0.8-0.6
Threes3PM+1.4+0.7
Field goal percentageFG%-0.4-2.2
Free throw percentageFT%-0.3+0.7
TurnoversTO+1.3+0.2
Total-2.9-5.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Duncan Robinson stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntDuncan RobinsonJordan Poole
PTS-2.3 (#184)-4.8 (#314)
REB-1.6 (#116)-3.7 (#241)
AST-2.2 (#163)-5.2 (#294)
STL-1.9 (#136)-4.1 (#240)
BLK-2.2 (#138)-4.9 (#270)
3PM-4.3 (#240)-6.1 (#330)
FG%-2.5 (#139)-3.2 (#164)
FT%-2.8 (#167)-6.1 (#307)
TO-4.3 (#189)-5.7 (#236)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Duncan Robinson: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).
  • Jordan Poole: 3 games (Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Duncan Robinson: 26.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 20.7 on the board.
  • Jordan Poole: 9.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 20.7 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Duncan Robinson playing tonight? · Is Jordan Poole playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Jordan Poole

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Duncan Robinson or Jordan Poole?

    Points leagues: Jordan Poole. 20.7 fantasy points per game against 20.7, 196th on our board to 197th. 9-cat leagues: Duncan Robinson instead, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -5.4 (168th to 273rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Duncan Robinson or Jordan Poole?

    Category by category, Duncan Robinson is ahead in 5 (REB, STL, 3PM, FG% and TO) and Jordan Poole in 3 (AST, BLK and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Duncan Robinson or Jordan Poole?

    Duncan Robinson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jordan Poole 3, an even 62.2 projected fantasy points each.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number