Alex Sarr vs De'Aaron Fox: who to start in Week 1
Alex Sarr plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), De'Aaron Fox 3. For that week alone, start De'Aaron Fox: 104.2 projected fantasy points to 102.9 for Alex Sarr. Over the season, De'Aaron Fox leads in points leagues (34.7 fantasy points a game to 34.3) and Alex Sarr in 9-cat leagues (48th against 55th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #53
- 34.3 FP/G, slot 5.05, $18
- 9-cat leagues
- #48
- +0.5 z, slot 4.12, $18
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #51
- 34.7 FP/G, slot 5.03, $19
- 9-cat leagues
- #55
- +0.1 z, slot 5.07, $16
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: De'Aaron Fox. 34.7 fantasy points per game against 34.3, 51st on our board to 53rd.
9-cat leagues: Alex Sarr instead, +0.5 in summed z-scores against +0.1 (48th to 55th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Alex Sarr is ahead in 3 (REB, BLK and TO) and De'Aaron Fox in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM, FG% and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Alex Sarr produces more: 45.9 fantasy points to 40.0, on 26.9 minutes a night against 31.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Alex Sarr plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), De'Aaron Fox 3. For that week alone, start De'Aaron Fox: 104.2 projected fantasy points to 102.9 for Alex Sarr.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Alex Sarr | De'Aaron Fox |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 34.3 | 34.7 |
| Minutes | 26.9 | 31.2 |
| PointsPTS | 15.2 | 18.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 7.3 | 4.0 |
| AssistsAST | 2.8 | 6.4 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.7 | 0.2 |
| Threes3PM | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Field goal %FG% | 47.6% | 49.6% |
| Free throw %FT% | 70.5% | 77.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 48 | 72 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Alex Sarr | De'Aaron Fox |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 45.9 | 40.0 |
| Points | 20.3 | 21.1 |
| Rebounds | 9.8 | 4.6 |
| Assists | 3.8 | 7.4 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Blocks | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 2.8 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Alex Sarr | De'Aaron Fox |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.2 | +0.4 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.7 | -0.8 |
| AssistsAST | -0.4 | +1.4 |
| StealsSTL | -0.5 | +0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | +2.2 | -0.9 |
| Threes3PM | -0.7 | +0.1 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.2 | +0.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.8 | -0.2 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.4 | -0.7 |
| Total | +0.5 | +0.1 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, blocks and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to De'Aaron Fox.
| Punt | Alex Sarr | De'Aaron Fox |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +0.6 (#41) | -0.3 (#74) |
| REB | -0.5 (#74) | +0.8 (#39) |
| AST | +0.8 (#40) | -1.4 (#121) |
| STL | +0.9 (#37) | -0.6 (#78) |
| BLK | -2.0 (#131) | +1.0 (#37) |
| 3PM | +1.1 (#38) | -0.2 (#64) |
| FG% | +0.2 (#56) | -0.4 (#73) |
| FT% | +1.3 (#35) | +0.2 (#52) |
| TO | +0.0 (#60) | +0.8 (#49) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Alex Sarr: 3 games (Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI), 1 back-to-back.
- De'Aaron Fox: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Alex Sarr: 22.0 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 34.3 on the board.
- De'Aaron Fox: 36.1 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 34.7 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Alex Sarr playing tonight? · Is De'Aaron Fox playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Alex Sarr, De'Aaron Fox
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Alex Sarr or De'Aaron Fox?
Points leagues: De'Aaron Fox. 34.7 fantasy points per game against 34.3, 51st on our board to 53rd. 9-cat leagues: Alex Sarr instead, +0.5 in summed z-scores against +0.1 (48th to 55th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Alex Sarr or De'Aaron Fox?
Category by category, Alex Sarr is ahead in 3 (REB, BLK and TO) and De'Aaron Fox in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM, FG% and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Alex Sarr or De'Aaron Fox?
Alex Sarr plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), De'Aaron Fox 3. For that week alone, start De'Aaron Fox: 104.2 projected fantasy points to 102.9 for Alex Sarr.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number