Alex Sarr vs Paul George: who to start in Week 1
Alex Sarr plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paul George 2. For that week alone, start Alex Sarr: 107.8 projected fantasy points to 70.7 for Paul George. Over the season, Alex Sarr leads in points leagues (35.9 fantasy points a game to 35.3) and Paul George in 9-cat leagues (20th against 46th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 21, 10:56 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #43
- 35.9 FP/G, slot 4.07, $20
- 9-cat leagues
- #46
- +0.7 z, slot 4.10, $19
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #46
- 35.3 FP/G, slot 4.10, $19
- 9-cat leagues
- #20
- +2.9 z, slot 2.08, $31
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Alex Sarr. 35.9 fantasy points per game against 35.3, 43rd on our board to 46th.
9-cat leagues: Paul George instead, +2.9 in summed z-scores against +0.7 (20th to 46th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Alex Sarr is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Paul George in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Alex Sarr produces more: 47.6 fantasy points to 41.5, on 27.2 minutes a night against 30.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Alex Sarr plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paul George 2. For that week alone, start Alex Sarr: 107.8 projected fantasy points to 70.7 for Paul George.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Alex Sarr | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 35.9 | 35.3 |
| Minutes | 27.2 | 30.7 |
| PointsPTS | 16.3 | 18.6 |
| ReboundsREB | 7.4 | 5.3 |
| AssistsAST | 2.7 | 3.6 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.2% | 45.1% |
| Free throw %FT% | 69.2% | 82.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 48 | 37 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Alex Sarr | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 47.6 | 41.5 |
| Points | 21.6 | 21.8 |
| Rebounds | 9.8 | 6.2 |
| Assists | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| Blocks | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 1.4 | 3.5 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 2.1 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Alex Sarr | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.1 | +0.3 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.7 | -0.2 |
| AssistsAST | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| StealsSTL | -0.6 | +2.5 |
| BlocksBLK | +2.6 | -0.6 |
| Threes3PM | -0.6 | +1.3 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.1 | -0.8 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -1.0 | +0.3 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.2 | +0.1 |
| Total | +0.7 | +2.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals flips the 9-cat answer to Alex Sarr.
| Punt | Alex Sarr | Paul George |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +0.7 (#39) | +2.4 (#13) |
| REB | -0.2 (#62) | +3.1 (#17) |
| AST | +1.1 (#33) | +2.8 (#16) |
| STL | +1.2 (#31) | +0.3 (#54) |
| BLK | -2.2 (#140) | +3.4 (#14) |
| 3PM | +1.3 (#35) | +1.4 (#32) |
| FG% | +0.4 (#55) | +3.8 (#13) |
| FT% | +1.7 (#30) | +2.5 (#21) |
| TO | +0.4 (#54) | +2.9 (#23) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Alex Sarr: 3 games (Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI), 1 back-to-back.
- Paul George: 2 games (Tue @DET, Fri NYK).
Recent games
- Alex Sarr: 27.3 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 35.9 on the board.
- Paul George: 60.5 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 35.3 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Alex Sarr playing tonight? · Is Paul George playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Alex Sarr, Paul George
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Alex Sarr or Paul George?
Points leagues: Alex Sarr. 35.9 fantasy points per game against 35.3, 43rd on our board to 46th. 9-cat leagues: Paul George instead, +2.9 in summed z-scores against +0.7 (20th to 46th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Alex Sarr or Paul George?
Category by category, Alex Sarr is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Paul George in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Alex Sarr or Paul George?
Alex Sarr plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paul George 2. For that week alone, start Alex Sarr: 107.8 projected fantasy points to 70.7 for Paul George.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 21, 2026 at 10:56 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number