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Anthony Davis vs Joel Embiid: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Joel Embiid in points leagues (44.5 fantasy points a game to 44.0) and Anthony Davis in 9-cat leagues (19th against 22nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Anthony Davis
CPFWASage 33DTD
Points leagues
#13
44.0 FP/G, slot 2.01, $32
9-cat leagues
#19
+3.0 z, slot 2.07, $32

Day to day (Rest)

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Joel Embiid
CPHIage 32DTD
Points leagues
#11
44.5 FP/G, slot 1.11, $33
9-cat leagues
#22
+2.5 z, slot 2.10, $29

Day to day (Rest)

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Joel Embiid. 44.5 fantasy points per game against 44.0, 11th on our board to 13th.

9-cat leagues: Anthony Davis instead, +3.0 in summed z-scores against +2.5 (19th to 22nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Anthony Davis is ahead in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO) and Joel Embiid in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%).

Anthony Davis plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Joel Embiid 4. For that week alone, start Joel Embiid: 177.9 projected fantasy points to 132.0 for Anthony Davis.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameAnthony DavisJoel Embiid
Fantasy points per game44.044.5
Minutes31.331.6
PointsPTS20.426.9
ReboundsREB11.17.7
AssistsAST2.83.9
StealsSTL1.10.6
BlocksBLK1.61.2
Threes3PM0.51.4
Field goal %FG%50.6%48.9%
Free throw %FT%72.8%85.4%
TurnoversTO2.02.9
Games, 2025-262038

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Anthony DavisJoel Embiid
Fantasy points50.650.6
Points23.430.6
Rebounds12.78.8
Assists3.24.5
Steals1.30.6
Blocks1.91.4
Threes0.61.6
Turnovers2.43.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAnthony DavisJoel Embiid
PointsPTS+0.6+1.8
ReboundsREB+2.3+0.8
AssistsAST-0.4+0.1
StealsSTL+0.2-1.3
BlocksBLK+2.0+1.1
Threes3PM-1.2-0.3
Field goal percentageFG%+0.5+0.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.9+1.5
TurnoversTO-0.2-1.3
Total+3.0+2.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, steals, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Joel Embiid.

PuntAnthony DavisJoel Embiid
PTS+2.3 (#15)+0.7 (#38)
REB+0.4 (#51)+1.6 (#28)
AST+3.4 (#10)+2.3 (#19)
STL+2.7 (#16)+3.8 (#11)
BLK+0.7 (#44)+1.4 (#34)
3PM+4.1 (#7)+2.6 (#17)
FG%+2.0 (#31)+2.5 (#24)
FT%+3.9 (#8)+0.9 (#41)
TO+3.2 (#22)+3.8 (#17)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Anthony Davis: 3 games (Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
  • Joel Embiid: 4 games (Tue @NYK, Thu CLE, Sat MIL, Sun DET), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.

Anthony Davis or Joel Embiid: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Anthony Davis: 44.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 44.0 on the board.
  • Joel Embiid: 48.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 44.5 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Anthony Davis or Joel Embiid in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Joel Embiid. 44.5 fantasy points per game against 44.0, 11th on our board to 13th. 9-cat leagues: Anthony Davis instead, +3.0 in summed z-scores against +2.5 (19th to 22nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Anthony Davis or Joel Embiid?

    Category by category, Anthony Davis is ahead in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO) and Joel Embiid in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Anthony Davis or Joel Embiid?

    Anthony Davis plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Joel Embiid 4. For that week alone, start Joel Embiid: 177.9 projected fantasy points to 132.0 for Anthony Davis.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number