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Anthony Edwards vs Deni Avdija: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Anthony Edwards in both formats: 43.9 fantasy points a game to 42.9 in points leagues, and 13th against 67th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Anthony Edwards
SGPGMINage 25
Points leagues
#14
43.9 FP/G, slot 2.02, $32
9-cat leagues
#13
+3.4 z, slot 2.01, $34

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Deni Avdija
PFSFSGPORage 25
Points leagues
#17
42.9 FP/G, slot 2.05, $30
9-cat leagues
#67
-0.4 z, slot 6.07, $13

The call

Points leagues: draft Anthony Edwards. 43.9 fantasy points per game against 42.9, 14th on our board to 17th.

9-cat leagues: Anthony Edwards again, +3.4 in summed z-scores against -0.4 (13th to 67th).

Category by category, Anthony Edwards is ahead in 6 (PTS, STL, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO) and Deni Avdija in 3 (REB, AST and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Deni Avdija produces more: 46.3 fantasy points to 45.2, on 33.3 minutes a night against 35.0. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Anthony Edwards plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Deni Avdija 2. For that week alone, start Anthony Edwards: 131.8 projected fantasy points to 85.7 for Deni Avdija.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameAnthony EdwardsDeni Avdija
Fantasy points per game43.942.9
Minutes35.033.3
PointsPTS28.824.2
ReboundsREB5.06.9
AssistsAST3.76.7
StealsSTL1.40.8
BlocksBLK0.80.6
Threes3PM3.41.9
Field goal %FG%48.9%46.2%
Free throw %FT%79.6%80.2%
TurnoversTO2.93.8
Games, 2025-266166

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Anthony EdwardsDeni Avdija
Fantasy points45.246.3
Points29.626.2
Rebounds5.17.4
Assists3.87.2
Steals1.40.8
Blocks0.80.7
Threes3.52.0
Turnovers2.94.1

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryAnthony EdwardsDeni Avdija
PointsPTS+2.1+1.3
ReboundsREB-0.4+0.5
AssistsAST+0.0+1.5
StealsSTL+1.0-0.7
BlocksBLK+0.2-0.1
Threes3PM+1.7+0.2
Field goal percentageFG%+0.1-0.6
Free throw percentageFT%-0.0+0.1
TurnoversTO-1.3-2.5
Total+3.4-0.4

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Anthony Edwards stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntAnthony EdwardsDeni Avdija
PTS+1.2 (#34)-1.8 (#145)
REB+3.7 (#12)-1.1 (#95)
AST+3.2 (#12)-2.0 (#146)
STL+2.3 (#21)+0.2 (#55)
BLK+3.2 (#15)-0.4 (#72)
3PM+1.5 (#32)-0.7 (#87)
FG%+3.3 (#17)-0.1 (#66)
FT%+3.3 (#11)-0.6 (#82)
TO+4.8 (#12)+2.1 (#35)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Anthony Edwards: 3 games (Wed @MIA, Fri @ORL, Sun TOR).
  • Deni Avdija: 2 games (Wed PHX, Fri @SAC).

Anthony Edwards or Deni Avdija: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Anthony Edwards: 38.6 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 43.9 on the board.
  • Deni Avdija: 42.1 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 42.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Anthony Edwards or Deni Avdija in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Anthony Edwards. 43.9 fantasy points per game against 42.9, 14th on our board to 17th. 9-cat leagues: Anthony Edwards again, +3.4 in summed z-scores against -0.4 (13th to 67th).

  • Who wins more categories, Anthony Edwards or Deni Avdija?

    Category by category, Anthony Edwards is ahead in 6 (PTS, STL, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO) and Deni Avdija in 3 (REB, AST and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Anthony Edwards or Deni Avdija?

    Anthony Edwards plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Deni Avdija 2. For that week alone, start Anthony Edwards: 131.8 projected fantasy points to 85.7 for Deni Avdija.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number