Anthony Edwards vs Chet Holmgren: who to start in Week 1
Anthony Edwards plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Chet Holmgren 3. For that week alone, start Anthony Edwards: 134.4 projected fantasy points to 110.9 for Chet Holmgren. Over the season, Anthony Edwards leads in both formats: 44.8 fantasy points a game to 37.0, and 9th against 10th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #11
- 44.8 FP/G, slot 1.11, $34
- 9-cat leagues
- #9
- +4.1 z, slot 1.09, $39
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #41
- 37.0 FP/G, slot 4.05, $22
- 9-cat leagues
- #10
- +3.9 z, slot 1.10, $38
The call
Points leagues: Anthony Edwards. 44.8 fantasy points per game against 37.0, 11th on our board to 41st.
9-cat leagues: Anthony Edwards again, +4.1 in summed z-scores against +3.9 (9th to 10th).
Category by category, Anthony Edwards is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and 3PM) and Chet Holmgren in 5 (REB, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Anthony Edwards produces more: 46.3 fantasy points to 46.0, on 34.8 minutes a night against 28.9. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Anthony Edwards plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Chet Holmgren 3. For that week alone, start Anthony Edwards: 134.4 projected fantasy points to 110.9 for Chet Holmgren.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Anthony Edwards | Chet Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 44.8 | 37.0 |
| Minutes | 34.8 | 28.9 |
| PointsPTS | 28.9 | 16.6 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.2 | 9.3 |
| AssistsAST | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| StealsSTL | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| Threes3PM | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| Field goal %FG% | 47.7% | 54.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 79.5% | 82.1% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 61 | 69 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Anthony Edwards | Chet Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 46.3 | 46.0 |
| Points | 29.9 | 20.7 |
| Rebounds | 5.4 | 11.5 |
| Assists | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 2.7 |
| Threes | 3.7 | 1.4 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Anthony Edwards | Chet Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +2.2 | +0.1 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.3 | +1.6 |
| AssistsAST | +0.0 | -1.0 |
| StealsSTL | +1.4 | -1.1 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.2 | +3.0 |
| Threes3PM | +2.1 | -0.5 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.3 | +1.1 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.0 | +0.3 |
| TurnoversTO | -1.2 | +0.3 |
| Total | +4.1 | +3.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, assists, steals and threes flips the 9-cat answer to Chet Holmgren.
| Punt | Anthony Edwards | Chet Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +1.7 (#23) | +3.8 (#6) |
| REB | +4.3 (#9) | +2.2 (#22) |
| AST | +3.8 (#8) | +4.8 (#6) |
| STL | +2.5 (#19) | +4.9 (#4) |
| BLK | +4.0 (#10) | +0.7 (#45) |
| 3PM | +1.8 (#27) | +4.4 (#7) |
| FG% | +4.4 (#10) | +2.6 (#24) |
| FT% | +3.8 (#8) | +3.6 (#10) |
| TO | +5.4 (#9) | +3.5 (#19) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Anthony Edwards: 3 games (Wed @MIA, Fri @ORL, Sun TOR).
- Chet Holmgren: 3 games (Tue @SAS, Thu DEN, Sun LAC).
Recent games
- Anthony Edwards: 51.1 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 44.8 on the board.
- Chet Holmgren: 41.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 37.0 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Anthony Edwards playing tonight? · Is Chet Holmgren playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Anthony Edwards, Chet Holmgren
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Anthony Edwards or Chet Holmgren?
Points leagues: Anthony Edwards. 44.8 fantasy points per game against 37.0, 11th on our board to 41st. 9-cat leagues: Anthony Edwards again, +4.1 in summed z-scores against +3.9 (9th to 10th).
Who wins more categories, Anthony Edwards or Chet Holmgren?
Category by category, Anthony Edwards is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and 3PM) and Chet Holmgren in 5 (REB, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Anthony Edwards or Chet Holmgren?
Anthony Edwards plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Chet Holmgren 3. For that week alone, start Anthony Edwards: 134.4 projected fantasy points to 110.9 for Chet Holmgren.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number