Brandon Williams vs Brice Sensabaugh: who to start in Week 1
Brandon Williams plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Brice Sensabaugh 3. For that week alone, start Brandon Williams: 70.8 projected fantasy points to 63.3 for Brice Sensabaugh. Over the season, Brandon Williams leads in points leagues (23.6 fantasy points a game to 21.1) and Brice Sensabaugh in 9-cat leagues (221st against 222nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
Parlae may earn a commission from price links.
- Points leagues
- #149
- 23.6 FP/G, slot 13.05, $2
- 9-cat leagues
- #222
- -4.1 z, slot 19.06
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #188
- 21.1 FP/G, slot 16.08
- 9-cat leagues
- #221
- -4.1 z, slot 19.05
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Brandon Williams. 23.6 fantasy points per game against 21.1, 149th on our board to 188th.
9-cat leagues: Brice Sensabaugh instead, -4.1 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (221st to 222nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Brandon Williams is ahead in 3 (AST, STL and BLK) and Brice Sensabaugh in 4 (PTS, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Brandon Williams produces more: 40.2 fantasy points to 33.9, on 21.1 minutes a night against 22.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Brandon Williams plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Brice Sensabaugh 3. For that week alone, start Brandon Williams: 70.8 projected fantasy points to 63.3 for Brice Sensabaugh.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Advertisement
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Brandon Williams | Brice Sensabaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 23.6 | 21.1 |
| Minutes | 21.1 | 22.4 |
| PointsPTS | 12.5 | 13.8 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.9 | 3.0 |
| AssistsAST | 3.7 | 1.9 |
| StealsSTL | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Threes3PM | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.6% | 45.6% |
| Free throw %FT% | 81.7% | 83.4% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 66 | 75 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Brandon Williams | Brice Sensabaugh |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 40.2 | 33.9 |
| Points | 21.4 | 22.2 |
| Rebounds | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Assists | 6.2 | 3.0 |
| Steals | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 0.9 | 3.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.2 | 2.6 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
Advertisement
9-category z-scores
| Category | Brandon Williams | Brice Sensabaugh |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.7 | -0.4 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.3 | -1.2 |
| AssistsAST | +0.0 | -0.9 |
| StealsSTL | +0.1 | -1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.9 | -1.0 |
| Threes3PM | -1.1 | +0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.6 | -0.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.3 | +0.3 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.1 | +0.3 |
| Total | -4.1 | -4.1 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, threes, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Brandon Williams.
| Punt | Brandon Williams | Brice Sensabaugh |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.5 (#245) | -3.7 (#257) |
| REB | -3.0 (#195) | -3.0 (#190) |
| AST | -4.2 (#252) | -3.3 (#208) |
| STL | -4.3 (#257) | -3.2 (#193) |
| BLK | -3.5 (#197) | -3.3 (#181) |
| 3PM | -3.0 (#187) | -4.6 (#259) |
| FG% | -4.0 (#202) | -3.7 (#192) |
| FT% | -4.4 (#237) | -4.5 (#239) |
| TO | -4.2 (#187) | -4.5 (#190) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Brandon Williams: 3 games (Wed @LAL, Fri MEM, Sat @PHX), 1 back-to-back.
- Brice Sensabaugh: 3 games (Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL).
Recent games
- Brandon Williams: 19.6 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 23.6 on the board.
- Brice Sensabaugh: 11.3 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.1 on the board.
Advertisement
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Brandon Williams playing tonight? · Is Brice Sensabaugh playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Brandon Williams or Brice Sensabaugh?
Points leagues: Brandon Williams. 23.6 fantasy points per game against 21.1, 149th on our board to 188th. 9-cat leagues: Brice Sensabaugh instead, -4.1 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (221st to 222nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Brandon Williams or Brice Sensabaugh?
Category by category, Brandon Williams is ahead in 3 (AST, STL and BLK) and Brice Sensabaugh in 4 (PTS, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Brandon Williams or Brice Sensabaugh?
Brandon Williams plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Brice Sensabaugh 3. For that week alone, start Brandon Williams: 70.8 projected fantasy points to 63.3 for Brice Sensabaugh.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number