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Brice Sensabaugh vs Pelle Larsson: who to start in Week 1

Brice Sensabaugh plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 63.6 projected fantasy points to 63.3 for Brice Sensabaugh. Over the season, Pelle Larsson leads in both formats: 21.2 fantasy points a game to 21.1, and 214th against 221st in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET.

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Brice Sensabaugh
SFPFSGUTAage 22
Points leagues
#188
21.1 FP/G, slot 16.08
9-cat leagues
#221
-4.1 z, slot 19.05
Pelle Larsson
SFSGMIAage 25
Points leagues
#186
21.2 FP/G, slot 16.06
9-cat leagues
#214
-4.0 z, slot 18.10

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Pelle Larsson. 21.2 fantasy points per game against 21.1, 186th on our board to 188th.

9-cat leagues: Pelle Larsson again, -4.0 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (214th to 221st).

Category by category, Brice Sensabaugh is ahead in 3 (PTS, 3PM and FT%) and Pelle Larsson in 6 (REB, AST, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Brice Sensabaugh produces more: 33.9 fantasy points to 28.9, on 22.4 minutes a night against 26.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Brice Sensabaugh plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 63.6 projected fantasy points to 63.3 for Brice Sensabaugh.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameBrice SensabaughPelle Larsson
Fantasy points per game21.121.2
Minutes22.426.4
PointsPTS13.810.6
ReboundsREB3.03.4
AssistsAST1.93.3
StealsSTL0.60.7
BlocksBLK0.20.3
Threes3PM2.00.8
Field goal %FG%45.6%46.9%
Free throw %FT%83.4%81.9%
TurnoversTO1.61.3
Games, 2025-267570

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Brice SensabaughPelle Larsson
Fantasy points33.928.9
Points22.214.5
Rebounds4.84.6
Assists3.04.5
Steals1.01.0
Blocks0.30.4
Threes3.21.1
Turnovers2.61.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryBrice SensabaughPelle Larsson
PointsPTS-0.4-1.0
ReboundsREB-1.2-1.1
AssistsAST-0.9-0.2
StealsSTL-1.0-0.8
BlocksBLK-1.0-0.9
Threes3PM+0.4-0.8
Field goal percentageFG%-0.5-0.2
Free throw percentageFT%+0.3+0.2
TurnoversTO+0.3+0.7
Total-4.1-4.0

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Brice Sensabaugh.

PuntBrice SensabaughPelle Larsson
PTS-3.7 (#257)-3.0 (#217)
REB-3.0 (#190)-3.1 (#200)
AST-3.3 (#208)-3.9 (#238)
STL-3.2 (#193)-3.3 (#201)
BLK-3.3 (#181)-3.4 (#189)
3PM-4.6 (#259)-3.2 (#192)
FG%-3.7 (#192)-4.2 (#213)
FT%-4.5 (#239)-4.2 (#226)
TO-4.5 (#190)-4.8 (#202)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Brice Sensabaugh: 3 games (Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL).
  • Pelle Larsson: 3 games (Wed MIN, Fri DET, Sat @CHA), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Brice Sensabaugh: 11.3 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.1 on the board.
  • Pelle Larsson: 15.3 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.2 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Brice Sensabaugh playing tonight? · Is Pelle Larsson playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Pelle Larsson

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Brice Sensabaugh or Pelle Larsson?

    Points leagues: Pelle Larsson. 21.2 fantasy points per game against 21.1, 186th on our board to 188th. 9-cat leagues: Pelle Larsson again, -4.0 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (214th to 221st).

  • Who wins more categories, Brice Sensabaugh or Pelle Larsson?

    Category by category, Brice Sensabaugh is ahead in 3 (PTS, 3PM and FT%) and Pelle Larsson in 6 (REB, AST, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Brice Sensabaugh or Pelle Larsson?

    Brice Sensabaugh plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 63.6 projected fantasy points to 63.3 for Brice Sensabaugh.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number