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Brice Sensabaugh vs Duncan Robinson: who to start in Week 1

Brice Sensabaugh plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Duncan Robinson 3. For that week alone, start Brice Sensabaugh: 63.3 projected fantasy points to 63.2 for Duncan Robinson. Over the season, Brice Sensabaugh leads in points leagues (21.1 fantasy points a game to 21.1) and Duncan Robinson in 9-cat leagues (156th against 221st). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET.

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Brice Sensabaugh
SFPFSGUTAage 22
Points leagues
#188
21.1 FP/G, slot 16.08
9-cat leagues
#221
-4.1 z, slot 19.05

The pick in points leagues.

Duncan Robinson
SFSGDETage 32
Points leagues
#189
21.1 FP/G, slot 16.09
9-cat leagues
#156
-2.5 z, slot 13.12, $1

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Brice Sensabaugh. 21.1 fantasy points per game against 21.1, 188th on our board to 189th.

9-cat leagues: Duncan Robinson instead, -2.5 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (156th to 221st), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Brice Sensabaugh is ahead in 3 (PTS, REB and FT%) and Duncan Robinson in 6 (AST, STL, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Brice Sensabaugh produces more: 33.9 fantasy points to 27.6, on 22.4 minutes a night against 27.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Brice Sensabaugh plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Duncan Robinson 3. For that week alone, start Brice Sensabaugh: 63.3 projected fantasy points to 63.2 for Duncan Robinson.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameBrice SensabaughDuncan Robinson
Fantasy points per game21.121.1
Minutes22.427.4
PointsPTS13.813.0
ReboundsREB3.02.5
AssistsAST1.92.1
StealsSTL0.60.7
BlocksBLK0.20.3
Threes3PM2.03.1
Field goal %FG%45.6%45.5%
Free throw %FT%83.4%76.9%
TurnoversTO1.60.9
Games, 2025-267577

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Brice SensabaughDuncan Robinson
Fantasy points33.927.6
Points22.217.0
Rebounds4.83.3
Assists3.02.7
Steals1.00.9
Blocks0.30.3
Threes3.24.1
Turnovers2.61.1

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryBrice SensabaughDuncan Robinson
PointsPTS-0.4-0.6
ReboundsREB-1.2-1.5
AssistsAST-0.9-0.8
StealsSTL-1.0-0.9
BlocksBLK-1.0-0.9
Threes3PM+0.4+1.5
Field goal percentageFG%-0.5-0.5
Free throw percentageFT%+0.3-0.2
TurnoversTO+0.3+1.2
Total-4.1-2.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Duncan Robinson stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntBrice SensabaughDuncan Robinson
PTS-3.7 (#257)-2.0 (#165)
REB-3.0 (#190)-1.1 (#100)
AST-3.3 (#208)-1.8 (#143)
STL-3.2 (#193)-1.7 (#127)
BLK-3.3 (#181)-1.7 (#117)
3PM-4.6 (#259)-4.1 (#228)
FG%-3.7 (#192)-2.0 (#121)
FT%-4.5 (#239)-2.4 (#154)
TO-4.5 (#190)-3.8 (#170)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Brice Sensabaugh: 3 games (Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL).
  • Duncan Robinson: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Brice Sensabaugh: 11.3 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.1 on the board.
  • Duncan Robinson: 26.3 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.1 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Brice Sensabaugh playing tonight? · Is Duncan Robinson playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Brice Sensabaugh or Duncan Robinson?

    Points leagues: Brice Sensabaugh. 21.1 fantasy points per game against 21.1, 188th on our board to 189th. 9-cat leagues: Duncan Robinson instead, -2.5 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (156th to 221st), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Brice Sensabaugh or Duncan Robinson?

    Category by category, Brice Sensabaugh is ahead in 3 (PTS, REB and FT%) and Duncan Robinson in 6 (AST, STL, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Brice Sensabaugh or Duncan Robinson?

    Brice Sensabaugh plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Duncan Robinson 3. For that week alone, start Brice Sensabaugh: 63.3 projected fantasy points to 63.2 for Duncan Robinson.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number