Brandon Williams vs Collin Sexton: who to start in Week 1
Brandon Williams plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Collin Sexton 3. For that week alone, start Collin Sexton: 73.0 projected fantasy points to 72.7 for Brandon Williams. Over the season, Collin Sexton leads in both formats: 24.3 fantasy points a game to 24.2, and 148th against 210th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 25, 8:28 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #146
- 24.2 FP/G, slot 13.02, $3
- 9-cat leagues
- #210
- -4.0 z, slot 18.06
- Points leagues
- #144
- 24.3 FP/G, slot 12.12, $3
- 9-cat leagues
- #148
- -2.3 z, slot 13.04, $2
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Collin Sexton. 24.3 fantasy points per game against 24.2, 144th on our board to 146th.
9-cat leagues: Collin Sexton again, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -4.0 (148th to 210th).
Category by category, Brandon Williams is ahead in 4 (REB, AST, BLK and TO) and Collin Sexton in 5 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FG% and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Brandon Williams produces more: 41.0 fantasy points to 37.7, on 21.3 minutes a night against 23.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Brandon Williams plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Collin Sexton 3. For that week alone, start Collin Sexton: 73.0 projected fantasy points to 72.7 for Brandon Williams.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Brandon Williams | Collin Sexton |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 24.2 | 24.3 |
| Minutes | 21.3 | 23.3 |
| PointsPTS | 13.0 | 14.8 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| AssistsAST | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| StealsSTL | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Threes3PM | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.9% | 48.0% |
| Free throw %FT% | 80.6% | 85.5% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 66 | 68 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Brandon Williams | Collin Sexton |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 41.0 | 37.7 |
| Points | 21.9 | 22.9 |
| Rebounds | 4.9 | 3.4 |
| Assists | 6.3 | 5.0 |
| Steals | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Threes | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| Turnovers | 3.2 | 3.1 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Brandon Williams | Collin Sexton |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -0.3 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.3 | -1.6 |
| AssistsAST | +0.1 | -0.2 |
| StealsSTL | +0.2 | +0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.9 | -1.1 |
| Threes3PM | -1.1 | -0.0 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.6 | -0.1 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.1 | +0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.1 | -0.2 |
| Total | -4.0 | -2.3 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Collin Sexton stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Brandon Williams | Collin Sexton |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.4 (#240) | -2.1 (#170) |
| REB | -2.9 (#183) | -0.7 (#82) |
| AST | -4.1 (#249) | -2.2 (#158) |
| STL | -4.3 (#256) | -2.9 (#179) |
| BLK | -3.4 (#190) | -1.3 (#100) |
| 3PM | -3.0 (#180) | -2.4 (#162) |
| FG% | -3.9 (#203) | -2.3 (#134) |
| FT% | -4.1 (#222) | -3.0 (#178) |
| TO | -4.0 (#179) | -2.2 (#114) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Brandon Williams: 3 games (Wed @LAL, Fri MEM, Sat @PHX), 1 back-to-back.
- Collin Sexton: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA).
Brandon Williams or Collin Sexton: the Week 1 start/sit call
Recent games
- Brandon Williams: 24.8 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 24.2 on the board.
- Collin Sexton: 17.2 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 24.3 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Brandon Williams playing tonight? · Is Collin Sexton playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Brandon Williams or Collin Sexton?
Points leagues: Collin Sexton. 24.3 fantasy points per game against 24.2, 144th on our board to 146th. 9-cat leagues: Collin Sexton again, -2.3 in summed z-scores against -4.0 (148th to 210th).
Who wins more categories, Brandon Williams or Collin Sexton?
Category by category, Brandon Williams is ahead in 4 (REB, AST, BLK and TO) and Collin Sexton in 5 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FG% and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Brandon Williams or Collin Sexton?
Brandon Williams plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Collin Sexton 3. For that week alone, start Collin Sexton: 73.0 projected fantasy points to 72.7 for Brandon Williams.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 8:28 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number