Brandon Williams vs Duncan Robinson: who to start in Week 3
Brandon Williams plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Duncan Robinson 3. For that week alone, start Duncan Robinson: 69.6 projected fantasy points to 69.4 for Brandon Williams. Over the season, Duncan Robinson leads in both formats: 23.2 fantasy points a game to 23.1, and 86th against 230th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #166
- 23.1 FP/G, slot 14.10
- 9-cat leagues
- #230
- -4.5 z, slot 20.02
Day to day (Quadriceps)
- Points leagues
- #165
- 23.2 FP/G, slot 14.09
- 9-cat leagues
- #86
- -1.0 z, slot 8.02, $10
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Duncan Robinson. 23.2 fantasy points per game against 23.1, 165th on our board to 166th.
9-cat leagues: Duncan Robinson again, -1.0 in summed z-scores against -4.5 (86th to 230th).
Category by category, Brandon Williams is ahead in 2 (REB and AST) and Duncan Robinson in 6 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Brandon Williams produces more: 40.4 fantasy points to 29.5, on 20.6 minutes a night against 28.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Brandon Williams plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Duncan Robinson 3. For that week alone, start Duncan Robinson: 69.6 projected fantasy points to 69.4 for Brandon Williams.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Brandon Williams | Duncan Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 23.1 | 23.2 |
| Minutes | 20.6 | 28.3 |
| PointsPTS | 12.6 | 14.0 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.9 | 2.5 |
| AssistsAST | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 0.7 | 3.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.4% | 45.2% |
| Free throw %FT% | 80.7% | 82.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 66 | 77 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Brandon Williams | Duncan Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 40.4 | 29.5 |
| Points | 21.9 | 17.8 |
| Rebounds | 5.0 | 3.1 |
| Assists | 6.0 | 2.7 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 1.2 | 4.1 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 1.1 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Brandon Williams | Duncan Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.7 | -0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.3 | -1.4 |
| AssistsAST | -0.2 | -0.8 |
| StealsSTL | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | -1.0 | +1.6 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.5 | -0.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.1 | +0.2 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.2 | +1.4 |
| Total | -4.5 | -1.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Duncan Robinson stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Brandon Williams | Duncan Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.7 (#276) | -0.6 (#86) |
| REB | -3.4 (#213) | +0.4 (#47) |
| AST | -4.4 (#274) | -0.3 (#67) |
| STL | -4.2 (#267) | -1.0 (#98) |
| BLK | -3.9 (#211) | -0.3 (#72) |
| 3PM | -3.4 (#212) | -2.6 (#175) |
| FG% | -4.3 (#225) | -0.5 (#72) |
| FT% | -4.5 (#243) | -1.3 (#107) |
| TO | -4.8 (#201) | -2.4 (#124) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Brandon Williams: 3 games (Mon PHX, Thu MIA, Sat ORL), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
- Duncan Robinson: 3 games (Mon @CHA, Wed PHI, Sun LAL).
Recent games
- Brandon Williams: 20.9 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 23.1 on the board.
- Duncan Robinson: 29.3 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 23.2 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Brandon Williams playing tonight? · Is Duncan Robinson playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Brandon Williams or Duncan Robinson?
Points leagues: Duncan Robinson. 23.2 fantasy points per game against 23.1, 165th on our board to 166th. 9-cat leagues: Duncan Robinson again, -1.0 in summed z-scores against -4.5 (86th to 230th).
Who wins more categories, Brandon Williams or Duncan Robinson?
Category by category, Brandon Williams is ahead in 2 (REB and AST) and Duncan Robinson in 6 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Brandon Williams or Duncan Robinson?
Brandon Williams plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Duncan Robinson 3. For that week alone, start Duncan Robinson: 69.6 projected fantasy points to 69.4 for Brandon Williams.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number