Duncan Robinson vs Wendell Carter Jr.: who to start in Week 3
Duncan Robinson plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Wendell Carter Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Wendell Carter Jr.: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 69.6 for Duncan Robinson. Over the season, Wendell Carter Jr. leads in points leagues (27.0 fantasy points a game to 23.2) and Duncan Robinson in 9-cat leagues (86th against 87th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #165
- 23.2 FP/G, slot 14.09
- 9-cat leagues
- #86
- -1.0 z, slot 8.02, $10
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #125
- 27.0 FP/G, slot 11.05, $6
- 9-cat leagues
- #87
- -1.0 z, slot 8.03, $9
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Wendell Carter Jr.. 27.0 fantasy points per game against 23.2, 125th on our board to 165th.
9-cat leagues: Duncan Robinson instead, -1.0 in summed z-scores against -1.0 (86th to 87th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Duncan Robinson is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Wendell Carter Jr. in 3 (REB, BLK and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Wendell Carter Jr. produces more: 32.1 fantasy points to 29.5, on 30.3 minutes a night against 28.3. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Duncan Robinson plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Wendell Carter Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Wendell Carter Jr.: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 69.6 for Duncan Robinson.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Duncan Robinson | Wendell Carter Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 23.2 | 27.0 |
| Minutes | 28.3 | 30.3 |
| PointsPTS | 14.0 | 12.0 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.5 | 7.9 |
| AssistsAST | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Threes3PM | 3.2 | 0.9 |
| Field goal %FG% | 45.2% | 54.0% |
| Free throw %FT% | 82.6% | 79.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 77 | 78 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Duncan Robinson | Wendell Carter Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 29.5 | 32.1 |
| Points | 17.8 | 14.3 |
| Rebounds | 3.1 | 9.3 |
| Assists | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Threes | 4.1 | 1.1 |
| Turnovers | 1.1 | 1.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Duncan Robinson | Wendell Carter Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.5 | -0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.4 | +0.9 |
| AssistsAST | -0.8 | -1.1 |
| StealsSTL | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | -0.2 |
| Threes3PM | +1.6 | -0.8 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.4 | +0.7 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.2 | -0.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.4 | +0.7 |
| Total | -1.0 | -1.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, assists, steals, threes, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Wendell Carter Jr..
| Punt | Duncan Robinson | Wendell Carter Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.6 (#86) | -0.2 (#70) |
| REB | +0.4 (#47) | -2.1 (#141) |
| AST | -0.3 (#67) | +0.0 (#59) |
| STL | -1.0 (#98) | -0.7 (#83) |
| BLK | -0.3 (#72) | -1.1 (#99) |
| 3PM | -2.6 (#175) | -0.2 (#60) |
| FG% | -0.5 (#72) | -2.0 (#129) |
| FT% | -1.3 (#107) | -0.9 (#94) |
| TO | -2.4 (#124) | -1.9 (#109) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Duncan Robinson: 3 games (Mon @CHA, Wed PHI, Sun LAL).
- Wendell Carter Jr.: 3 games (Mon WAS, Thu @PHX, Sat @GSW), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Duncan Robinson: 29.3 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 23.2 on the board.
- Wendell Carter Jr.: 28.0 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 27.0 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Duncan Robinson playing tonight? · Is Wendell Carter Jr. playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Duncan Robinson or Wendell Carter Jr.?
Points leagues: Wendell Carter Jr.. 27.0 fantasy points per game against 23.2, 125th on our board to 165th. 9-cat leagues: Duncan Robinson instead, -1.0 in summed z-scores against -1.0 (86th to 87th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Duncan Robinson or Wendell Carter Jr.?
Category by category, Duncan Robinson is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Wendell Carter Jr. in 3 (REB, BLK and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 3, Duncan Robinson or Wendell Carter Jr.?
Duncan Robinson plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Wendell Carter Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Wendell Carter Jr.: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 69.6 for Duncan Robinson.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number