Brice Sensabaugh vs Brook Lopez: who to start in Week 1
Brice Sensabaugh plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Brook Lopez 3. For that week alone, start Brice Sensabaugh: 63.3 projected fantasy points to 63.2 for Brook Lopez. Over the season, Brice Sensabaugh leads in points leagues (21.1 fantasy points a game to 21.1) and Brook Lopez in 9-cat leagues (146th against 218th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 25, 8:28 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #188
- 21.1 FP/G, slot 16.08
- 9-cat leagues
- #218
- -4.1 z, slot 19.02
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #190
- 21.1 FP/G, slot 16.10
- 9-cat leagues
- #146
- -2.2 z, slot 13.02, $2
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Brice Sensabaugh. 21.1 fantasy points per game against 21.1, 188th on our board to 190th.
9-cat leagues: Brook Lopez instead, -2.2 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (146th to 218th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Brice Sensabaugh is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Brook Lopez in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Brook Lopez produces more: 34.5 fantasy points to 33.9, on 22.0 minutes a night against 22.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Brice Sensabaugh plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Brook Lopez 3. For that week alone, start Brice Sensabaugh: 63.3 projected fantasy points to 63.2 for Brook Lopez.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Brice Sensabaugh | Brook Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.1 | 21.1 |
| Minutes | 22.4 | 22.0 |
| PointsPTS | 13.8 | 9.8 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.0 | 4.1 |
| AssistsAST | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.2 | 1.3 |
| Threes3PM | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Field goal %FG% | 45.6% | 47.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 83.4% | 78.9% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 75 | 75 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Brice Sensabaugh | Brook Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 33.9 | 34.5 |
| Points | 22.2 | 16.0 |
| Rebounds | 4.8 | 6.7 |
| Assists | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 2.1 |
| Threes | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| Turnovers | 2.6 | 1.6 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Brice Sensabaugh | Brook Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.4 | -1.1 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.2 | -0.7 |
| AssistsAST | -0.9 | -1.2 |
| StealsSTL | -1.1 | -1.2 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.0 | +1.2 |
| Threes3PM | +0.4 | -0.1 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.3 | -0.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.3 | +1.1 |
| Total | -4.1 | -2.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting blocks flips the 9-cat answer to Brice Sensabaugh.
| Punt | Brice Sensabaugh | Brook Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.7 (#257) | -1.1 (#115) |
| REB | -3.0 (#190) | -1.6 (#122) |
| AST | -3.3 (#210) | -1.1 (#104) |
| STL | -3.2 (#193) | -1.2 (#106) |
| BLK | -3.3 (#182) | -3.7 (#204) |
| 3PM | -4.6 (#260) | -2.1 (#146) |
| FG% | -3.7 (#192) | -2.2 (#132) |
| FT% | -4.5 (#237) | -2.3 (#149) |
| TO | -4.5 (#193) | -3.5 (#158) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Brice Sensabaugh: 3 games (Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL).
- Brook Lopez: 3 games (Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC).
Recent games
- Brice Sensabaugh: 11.3 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.1 on the board.
- Brook Lopez: 34.8 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.1 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Brice Sensabaugh playing tonight? · Is Brook Lopez playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Brice Sensabaugh or Brook Lopez?
Points leagues: Brice Sensabaugh. 21.1 fantasy points per game against 21.1, 188th on our board to 190th. 9-cat leagues: Brook Lopez instead, -2.2 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (146th to 218th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Brice Sensabaugh or Brook Lopez?
Category by category, Brice Sensabaugh is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Brook Lopez in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Brice Sensabaugh or Brook Lopez?
Brice Sensabaugh plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Brook Lopez 3. For that week alone, start Brice Sensabaugh: 63.3 projected fantasy points to 63.2 for Brook Lopez.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 8:28 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number