Brook Lopez vs Duncan Robinson: who to start in Week 1
Brook Lopez plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Duncan Robinson 3. For that week alone, start Duncan Robinson: 62.2 projected fantasy points to 60.8 for Brook Lopez. Over the season, Duncan Robinson leads in points leagues (20.7 fantasy points a game to 20.3) and Brook Lopez in 9-cat leagues (166th against 168th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #203
- 20.3 FP/G, slot 17.11
- 9-cat leagues
- #166
- -2.9 z, slot 14.10
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #197
- 20.7 FP/G, slot 17.05
- 9-cat leagues
- #168
- -2.9 z, slot 14.12
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Duncan Robinson. 20.7 fantasy points per game against 20.3, 197th on our board to 203rd.
9-cat leagues: Brook Lopez instead, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (166th to 168th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Brook Lopez is ahead in 4 (REB, STL, BLK and FT%) and Duncan Robinson in 5 (PTS, AST, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Brook Lopez produces more: 33.0 fantasy points to 27.2, on 22.1 minutes a night against 27.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Brook Lopez plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Duncan Robinson 3. For that week alone, start Duncan Robinson: 62.2 projected fantasy points to 60.8 for Brook Lopez.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Brook Lopez | Duncan Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 20.3 | 20.7 |
| Minutes | 22.1 | 27.5 |
| PointsPTS | 9.0 | 12.7 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.1 | 2.6 |
| AssistsAST | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 1.5 | 3.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.4% | 45.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 78.6% | 75.3% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 75 | 77 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Brook Lopez | Duncan Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 33.0 | 27.2 |
| Points | 14.6 | 16.7 |
| Rebounds | 6.7 | 3.4 |
| Assists | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| Turnovers | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Brook Lopez | Duncan Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.3 | -0.6 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.8 | -1.4 |
| AssistsAST | -1.2 | -0.8 |
| StealsSTL | -1.1 | -1.2 |
| BlocksBLK | +1.0 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | -0.1 | +1.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.5 | -0.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.0 | -0.3 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.2 | +1.3 |
| Total | -2.9 | -2.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, steals, blocks and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Duncan Robinson.
| Punt | Brook Lopez | Duncan Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.6 (#136) | -2.3 (#184) |
| REB | -2.2 (#145) | -1.6 (#116) |
| AST | -1.7 (#131) | -2.2 (#163) |
| STL | -1.9 (#137) | -1.9 (#136) |
| BLK | -4.1 (#234) | -2.2 (#138) |
| 3PM | -2.7 (#173) | -4.3 (#240) |
| FG% | -2.5 (#136) | -2.5 (#139) |
| FT% | -2.8 (#169) | -2.8 (#167) |
| TO | -4.3 (#188) | -4.3 (#189) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Brook Lopez: 3 games (Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC).
- Duncan Robinson: 3 games (Tue BOS, Fri @MIA, Sun @PHI).
Recent games
- Brook Lopez: 35.7 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 20.3 on the board.
- Duncan Robinson: 26.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 20.7 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Brook Lopez playing tonight? · Is Duncan Robinson playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Brook Lopez or Duncan Robinson?
Points leagues: Duncan Robinson. 20.7 fantasy points per game against 20.3, 197th on our board to 203rd. 9-cat leagues: Brook Lopez instead, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (166th to 168th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Brook Lopez or Duncan Robinson?
Category by category, Brook Lopez is ahead in 4 (REB, STL, BLK and FT%) and Duncan Robinson in 5 (PTS, AST, 3PM, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Brook Lopez or Duncan Robinson?
Brook Lopez plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Duncan Robinson 3. For that week alone, start Duncan Robinson: 62.2 projected fantasy points to 60.8 for Brook Lopez.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number