Brook Lopez vs Herbert Jones: who to start in Week 1
Brook Lopez plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Herbert Jones 3. For that week alone, start Herbert Jones: 63.5 projected fantasy points to 60.8 for Brook Lopez. Over the season, Herbert Jones leads in points leagues (21.2 fantasy points a game to 20.3) and Brook Lopez in 9-cat leagues (166th against 167th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #203
- 20.3 FP/G, slot 17.11
- 9-cat leagues
- #166
- -2.9 z, slot 14.10
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #192
- 21.2 FP/G, slot 16.12
- 9-cat leagues
- #167
- -2.9 z, slot 14.11
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Herbert Jones. 21.2 fantasy points per game against 20.3, 192nd on our board to 203rd.
9-cat leagues: Brook Lopez instead, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (166th to 167th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Brook Lopez is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO) and Herbert Jones in 3 (AST, STL and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Brook Lopez produces more: 33.0 fantasy points to 27.5, on 22.1 minutes a night against 27.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Brook Lopez plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Herbert Jones 3. For that week alone, start Herbert Jones: 63.5 projected fantasy points to 60.8 for Brook Lopez.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Brook Lopez | Herbert Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 20.3 | 21.2 |
| Minutes | 22.1 | 27.6 |
| PointsPTS | 9.0 | 8.6 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| AssistsAST | 1.3 | 2.6 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Threes3PM | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 44.4% | 38.6% |
| Free throw %FT% | 78.6% | 80.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 75 | 56 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Brook Lopez | Herbert Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 33.0 | 27.5 |
| Points | 14.6 | 11.2 |
| Rebounds | 6.7 | 4.3 |
| Assists | 2.1 | 3.4 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Blocks | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Threes | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Turnovers | 1.4 | 1.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Brook Lopez | Herbert Jones |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.3 | -1.4 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.8 | -1.1 |
| AssistsAST | -1.2 | -0.5 |
| StealsSTL | -1.1 | +1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | +1.0 | -0.5 |
| Threes3PM | -0.1 | -0.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.5 | -1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.0 | +0.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.2 | +0.7 |
| Total | -2.9 | -2.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, blocks, threes, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Herbert Jones.
| Punt | Brook Lopez | Herbert Jones |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.6 (#136) | -1.6 (#134) |
| REB | -2.2 (#145) | -1.9 (#129) |
| AST | -1.7 (#131) | -2.4 (#172) |
| STL | -1.9 (#137) | -4.4 (#269) |
| BLK | -4.1 (#234) | -2.6 (#154) |
| 3PM | -2.7 (#173) | -2.7 (#170) |
| FG% | -2.5 (#136) | -1.7 (#107) |
| FT% | -2.8 (#169) | -2.9 (#171) |
| TO | -4.3 (#188) | -3.7 (#165) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Brook Lopez: 3 games (Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC).
- Herbert Jones: 3 games (Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Brook Lopez: 35.7 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 20.3 on the board.
- Herbert Jones: 9.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Brook Lopez playing tonight? · Is Herbert Jones playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Brook Lopez or Herbert Jones?
Points leagues: Herbert Jones. 21.2 fantasy points per game against 20.3, 192nd on our board to 203rd. 9-cat leagues: Brook Lopez instead, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (166th to 167th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Brook Lopez or Herbert Jones?
Category by category, Brook Lopez is ahead in 6 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM, FG% and TO) and Herbert Jones in 3 (AST, STL and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Brook Lopez or Herbert Jones?
Brook Lopez plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Herbert Jones 3. For that week alone, start Herbert Jones: 63.5 projected fantasy points to 60.8 for Brook Lopez.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number