Bub Carrington vs Jeremiah Fears: who to start in Week 1
Bub Carrington plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jeremiah Fears 3. For that week alone, start Jeremiah Fears: 73.2 projected fantasy points to 62.7 for Bub Carrington. Over the season, Jeremiah Fears leads in both formats: 24.4 fantasy points a game to 20.9, and 235th against 254th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #192
- 20.9 FP/G, slot 16.12
- 9-cat leagues
- #254
- -4.9 z, slot 22.02
- Points leagues
- #141
- 24.4 FP/G, slot 12.09, $4
- 9-cat leagues
- #235
- -4.5 z, slot 20.07
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Jeremiah Fears. 24.4 fantasy points per game against 20.9, 141st on our board to 192nd.
9-cat leagues: Jeremiah Fears again, -4.5 in summed z-scores against -4.9 (235th to 254th).
Category by category, Bub Carrington is ahead in 3 (AST, 3PM and FG%) and Jeremiah Fears in 5 (PTS, REB, STL, BLK and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Jeremiah Fears produces more: 34.6 fantasy points to 28.7, on 25.4 minutes a night against 26.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Bub Carrington plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jeremiah Fears 3. For that week alone, start Jeremiah Fears: 73.2 projected fantasy points to 62.7 for Bub Carrington.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Bub Carrington | Jeremiah Fears |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 20.9 | 24.4 |
| Minutes | 26.2 | 25.4 |
| PointsPTS | 10.2 | 13.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| AssistsAST | 4.3 | 3.1 |
| StealsSTL | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 42.2% | 41.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 75.4% | 78.5% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 82 | 82 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Bub Carrington | Jeremiah Fears |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 28.7 | 34.6 |
| Points | 14.0 | 19.1 |
| Rebounds | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| Assists | 6.0 | 4.4 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Turnovers | 2.9 | 3.0 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Bub Carrington | Jeremiah Fears |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.1 | -0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.2 | -1.1 |
| AssistsAST | +0.4 | -0.2 |
| StealsSTL | -0.9 | +0.2 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.1 | -0.8 |
| Threes3PM | +0.4 | -0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.9 | -1.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.3 | -0.3 |
| Total | -4.9 | -4.5 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points and steals flips the 9-cat answer to Bub Carrington.
| Punt | Bub Carrington | Jeremiah Fears |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.8 (#262) | -4.0 (#275) |
| REB | -3.8 (#242) | -3.6 (#232) |
| AST | -5.3 (#301) | -4.3 (#258) |
| STL | -4.0 (#238) | -4.8 (#285) |
| BLK | -4.0 (#228) | -4.0 (#222) |
| 3PM | -5.3 (#291) | -4.1 (#231) |
| FG% | -4.2 (#209) | -3.5 (#179) |
| FT% | -4.7 (#249) | -4.4 (#234) |
| TO | -4.7 (#196) | -4.3 (#189) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Bub Carrington: 3 games (Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI), 1 back-to-back.
- Jeremiah Fears: 3 games (Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Bub Carrington: 13.2 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 20.9 on the board.
- Jeremiah Fears: 10.8 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 24.4 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Bub Carrington playing tonight? · Is Jeremiah Fears playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Jeremiah Fears
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Bub Carrington or Jeremiah Fears?
Points leagues: Jeremiah Fears. 24.4 fantasy points per game against 20.9, 141st on our board to 192nd. 9-cat leagues: Jeremiah Fears again, -4.5 in summed z-scores against -4.9 (235th to 254th).
Who wins more categories, Bub Carrington or Jeremiah Fears?
Category by category, Bub Carrington is ahead in 3 (AST, 3PM and FG%) and Jeremiah Fears in 5 (PTS, REB, STL, BLK and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Bub Carrington or Jeremiah Fears?
Bub Carrington plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jeremiah Fears 3. For that week alone, start Jeremiah Fears: 73.2 projected fantasy points to 62.7 for Bub Carrington.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number