Kelly Oubre Jr. vs Robert Williams III: who to start in Week 1
Kelly Oubre Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Robert Williams III 2. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 78.0 projected fantasy points to 43.7 for Robert Williams III. Over the season, Kelly Oubre Jr. leads in both formats: 26.0 fantasy points a game to 21.8, and 106th against 107th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 8:57 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #128
- 26.0 FP/G, slot 11.08, $5
- 9-cat leagues
- #106
- -1.4 z, slot 9.10, $8
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #178
- 21.8 FP/G, slot 15.10
- 9-cat leagues
- #107
- -1.4 z, slot 9.11, $8
The call
Points leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr.. 26.0 fantasy points per game against 21.8, 128th on our board to 178th.
9-cat leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr. again, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -1.4 (106th to 107th).
Category by category, Kelly Oubre Jr. is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Robert Williams III in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Robert Williams III produces more: 46.4 fantasy points to 30.0, on 17.0 minutes a night against 31.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Kelly Oubre Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Robert Williams III 2. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 78.0 projected fantasy points to 43.7 for Robert Williams III.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 26.0 | 21.8 |
| Minutes | 31.3 | 17.0 |
| PointsPTS | 13.5 | 6.4 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.8 | 7.2 |
| AssistsAST | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| StealsSTL | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| Threes3PM | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| Field goal %FG% | 46.5% | 69.1% |
| Free throw %FT% | 76.6% | 59.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 50 | 59 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 30.0 | 46.4 |
| Points | 15.5 | 13.7 |
| Rebounds | 5.6 | 15.3 |
| Assists | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 3.1 |
| Threes | 1.9 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 1.6 | 1.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.5 | -1.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.4 | +0.6 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | -1.3 |
| StealsSTL | +0.9 | -1.3 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.3 | +1.6 |
| Threes3PM | -0.0 | -1.5 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.4 | +1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.3 | -0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.6 | +1.4 |
| Total | -1.4 | -1.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Robert Williams III.
| Punt | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Robert Williams III |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.0 (#102) | +0.3 (#51) |
| REB | -1.2 (#97) | -2.3 (#151) |
| AST | -0.5 (#75) | -0.1 (#56) |
| STL | -2.4 (#160) | -0.2 (#67) |
| BLK | -1.2 (#97) | -3.3 (#191) |
| 3PM | -1.4 (#110) | +0.1 (#57) |
| FG% | -1.3 (#96) | -3.3 (#172) |
| FT% | -1.2 (#101) | -0.8 (#85) |
| TO | -2.1 (#112) | -3.0 (#140) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).
- Robert Williams III: 2 games (Wed PHX, Fri @SAC).
Recent games
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: 15.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 26.0 on the board.
- Robert Williams III: 18.5 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.8 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Kelly Oubre Jr. playing tonight? · Is Robert Williams III playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Kelly Oubre Jr. or Robert Williams III?
Points leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr.. 26.0 fantasy points per game against 21.8, 128th on our board to 178th. 9-cat leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr. again, -1.4 in summed z-scores against -1.4 (106th to 107th).
Who wins more categories, Kelly Oubre Jr. or Robert Williams III?
Category by category, Kelly Oubre Jr. is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Robert Williams III in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Kelly Oubre Jr. or Robert Williams III?
Kelly Oubre Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Robert Williams III 2. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 78.0 projected fantasy points to 43.7 for Robert Williams III.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 8:57 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number