Chet Holmgren vs Jamal Murray: who to start in Week 2
Chet Holmgren plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Jamal Murray 3. For that week alone, start Jamal Murray: 127.7 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Chet Holmgren. Over the season, Jamal Murray leads in both formats: 42.6 fantasy points a game to 36.0, and 12th against 13th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 26, 8:30 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #41
- 36.0 FP/G, slot 4.05, $21
- 9-cat leagues
- #13
- +3.5 z, slot 2.01, $36
Out (Knee)
- Points leagues
- #17
- 42.6 FP/G, slot 2.05, $31
- 9-cat leagues
- #12
- +3.6 z, slot 1.12, $36
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Jamal Murray. 42.6 fantasy points per game against 36.0, 17th on our board to 41st.
9-cat leagues: Jamal Murray again, +3.6 in summed z-scores against +3.5 (12th to 13th).
Category by category, Chet Holmgren is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Jamal Murray in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Chet Holmgren produces more: 44.5 fantasy points to 42.7, on 29.1 minutes a night against 35.9. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Chet Holmgren plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Jamal Murray 3. For that week alone, start Jamal Murray: 127.7 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Chet Holmgren.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Chet Holmgren | Jamal Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 36.0 | 42.6 |
| Minutes | 29.1 | 35.9 |
| PointsPTS | 16.3 | 25.2 |
| ReboundsREB | 9.0 | 4.6 |
| AssistsAST | 1.6 | 6.8 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 1.2 | 3.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 53.7% | 47.2% |
| Free throw %FT% | 82.6% | 85.5% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 69 | 75 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Chet Holmgren | Jamal Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 44.5 | 42.7 |
| Points | 20.1 | 25.3 |
| Rebounds | 11.1 | 4.7 |
| Assists | 2.0 | 6.8 |
| Steals | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 1.5 | 3.4 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 2.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Chet Holmgren | Jamal Murray |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.0 | +1.6 |
| ReboundsREB | +1.5 | -0.5 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | +1.6 |
| StealsSTL | -1.1 | -0.4 |
| BlocksBLK | +2.9 | -0.6 |
| Threes3PM | -0.5 | +1.8 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +1.0 | -0.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.4 | +1.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.4 | -0.6 |
| Total | +3.5 | +3.6 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Chet Holmgren.
| Punt | Chet Holmgren | Jamal Murray |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +3.5 (#6) | +1.9 (#21) |
| REB | +2.0 (#25) | +4.2 (#10) |
| AST | +4.6 (#6) | +1.8 (#26) |
| STL | +4.5 (#6) | +3.8 (#11) |
| BLK | +0.5 (#46) | +4.2 (#8) |
| 3PM | +4.0 (#6) | +1.5 (#30) |
| FG% | +2.5 (#24) | +4.2 (#10) |
| FT% | +3.2 (#12) | +2.3 (#21) |
| TO | +3.1 (#21) | +4.3 (#14) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Chet Holmgren: 3 games (Mon PHX, Wed @DAL, Sat @HOU), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
- Jamal Murray: 3 games (Mon GSW, Wed @NOP, Fri @PHX).
Recent games
- Chet Holmgren: 34.5 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 36.0 on the board.
- Jamal Murray: 40.0 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 42.6 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Chet Holmgren playing tonight? · Is Jamal Murray playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Chet Holmgren, Jamal Murray
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Chet Holmgren or Jamal Murray?
Points leagues: Jamal Murray. 42.6 fantasy points per game against 36.0, 17th on our board to 41st. 9-cat leagues: Jamal Murray again, +3.6 in summed z-scores against +3.5 (12th to 13th).
Who wins more categories, Chet Holmgren or Jamal Murray?
Category by category, Chet Holmgren is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Jamal Murray in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 2, Chet Holmgren or Jamal Murray?
Chet Holmgren plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Jamal Murray 3. For that week alone, start Jamal Murray: 127.7 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Chet Holmgren.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 26, 2026 at 8:30 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number