Cooper Flagg vs Joel Embiid: who to start in Week 1
Cooper Flagg plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Joel Embiid 4. For that week alone, start Joel Embiid: 175.5 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Cooper Flagg. Over the season, Joel Embiid leads in both formats: 43.9 fantasy points a game to 40.3, and 23rd against 24th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #23
- 40.3 FP/G, slot 2.11, $27
- 9-cat leagues
- #24
- +2.4 z, slot 2.12, $29
Out (Shoulder)
- Points leagues
- #13
- 43.9 FP/G, slot 2.01, $32
- 9-cat leagues
- #23
- +2.6 z, slot 2.11, $30
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Joel Embiid. 43.9 fantasy points per game against 40.3, 13th on our board to 23rd.
9-cat leagues: Joel Embiid again, +2.6 in summed z-scores against +2.4 (23rd to 24th).
Category by category, Cooper Flagg is ahead in 3 (AST, STL and TO) and Joel Embiid in 5 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Joel Embiid produces more: 49.5 fantasy points to 44.6, on 31.9 minutes a night against 32.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Cooper Flagg plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Joel Embiid 4. For that week alone, start Joel Embiid: 175.5 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Cooper Flagg.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Cooper Flagg | Joel Embiid |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 40.3 | 43.9 |
| Minutes | 32.5 | 31.9 |
| PointsPTS | 21.3 | 25.9 |
| ReboundsREB | 6.5 | 7.9 |
| AssistsAST | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| StealsSTL | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Threes3PM | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 48.0% | 47.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 83.8% | 84.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 70 | 38 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Cooper Flagg | Joel Embiid |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 44.6 | 49.5 |
| Points | 23.6 | 29.2 |
| Rebounds | 7.2 | 8.9 |
| Assists | 4.9 | 4.4 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Threes | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Turnovers | 2.7 | 3.2 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Cooper Flagg | Joel Embiid |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.9 | +1.7 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.3 | +1.0 |
| AssistsAST | +0.4 | +0.2 |
| StealsSTL | +1.1 | -1.1 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.5 | +1.2 |
| Threes3PM | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.7 | +1.4 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.7 | -1.2 |
| Total | +2.4 | +2.6 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, rebounds, blocks, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Cooper Flagg.
| Punt | Cooper Flagg | Joel Embiid |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +1.5 (#26) | +0.9 (#35) |
| REB | +2.1 (#23) | +1.5 (#30) |
| AST | +1.9 (#25) | +2.3 (#21) |
| STL | +1.3 (#30) | +3.6 (#11) |
| BLK | +1.9 (#29) | +1.3 (#33) |
| 3PM | +2.9 (#15) | +2.7 (#17) |
| FG% | +2.5 (#26) | +2.7 (#23) |
| FT% | +1.7 (#29) | +1.1 (#36) |
| TO | +3.2 (#22) | +3.7 (#17) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Cooper Flagg: 3 games (Wed @HOU, Fri @IND, Sat SAS), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
- Joel Embiid: 4 games (Tue @NYK, Thu CLE, Sat MIL, Sun DET), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Cooper Flagg: 43.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 40.3 on the board.
- Joel Embiid: 39.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 43.9 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Cooper Flagg playing tonight? · Is Joel Embiid playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Cooper Flagg, Joel Embiid
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Cooper Flagg or Joel Embiid?
Points leagues: Joel Embiid. 43.9 fantasy points per game against 40.3, 13th on our board to 23rd. 9-cat leagues: Joel Embiid again, +2.6 in summed z-scores against +2.4 (23rd to 24th).
Who wins more categories, Cooper Flagg or Joel Embiid?
Category by category, Cooper Flagg is ahead in 3 (AST, STL and TO) and Joel Embiid in 5 (PTS, REB, BLK, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Cooper Flagg or Joel Embiid?
Cooper Flagg plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Joel Embiid 4. For that week alone, start Joel Embiid: 175.5 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Cooper Flagg.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number