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Cooper Flagg vs Paolo Banchero: who to start in Week 1

Cooper Flagg plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start Paolo Banchero: 122.9 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Cooper Flagg. Over the season, Paolo Banchero leads in points leagues (41.0 fantasy points a game to 40.3) and Cooper Flagg in 9-cat leagues (24th against 91st). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET.

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Cooper Flagg
SGPGSFDALage 19OUT
Points leagues
#23
40.3 FP/G, slot 2.11, $27
9-cat leagues
#24
+2.4 z, slot 2.12, $29

Out (Shoulder)

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Paolo Banchero
PFORLage 23DTD
Points leagues
#22
41.0 FP/G, slot 2.10, $28
9-cat leagues
#91
-1.1 z, slot 8.07, $9

Day to day (Ankle)

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Paolo Banchero. 41.0 fantasy points per game against 40.3, 22nd on our board to 23rd.

9-cat leagues: Cooper Flagg instead, +2.4 in summed z-scores against -1.1 (24th to 91st), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Cooper Flagg is ahead in 4 (STL, BLK, FT% and TO) and Paolo Banchero in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and 3PM).

Per 36 minutes, Cooper Flagg produces more: 44.6 fantasy points to 42.5, on 32.5 minutes a night against 34.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Cooper Flagg plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start Paolo Banchero: 122.9 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Cooper Flagg.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameCooper FlaggPaolo Banchero
Fantasy points per game40.341.0
Minutes32.534.7
PointsPTS21.322.5
ReboundsREB6.58.2
AssistsAST4.55.5
StealsSTL1.40.7
BlocksBLK0.90.5
Threes3PM1.11.2
Field goal %FG%48.0%48.0%
Free throw %FT%83.8%76.4%
TurnoversTO2.43.2
Games, 2025-267072

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Cooper FlaggPaolo Banchero
Fantasy points44.642.5
Points23.623.3
Rebounds7.28.5
Assists4.95.7
Steals1.60.8
Blocks1.00.5
Threes1.21.3
Turnovers2.73.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryCooper FlaggPaolo Banchero
PointsPTS+0.9+1.1
ReboundsREB+0.3+1.1
AssistsAST+0.4+0.9
StealsSTL+1.1-0.8
BlocksBLK+0.5-0.4
Threes3PM-0.6-0.4
Field goal percentageFG%-0.2-0.2
Free throw percentageFT%+0.7-0.8
TurnoversTO-0.7-1.6
Total+2.4-1.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Cooper Flagg stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntCooper FlaggPaolo Banchero
PTS+1.5 (#26)-2.2 (#180)
REB+2.1 (#23)-2.6 (#169)
AST+1.9 (#25)-2.2 (#160)
STL+1.3 (#30)-0.4 (#72)
BLK+1.9 (#29)-1.0 (#91)
3PM+2.9 (#15)-0.7 (#84)
FG%+2.5 (#26)-1.8 (#114)
FT%+1.7 (#29)-0.3 (#72)
TO+3.2 (#22)+0.5 (#51)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Cooper Flagg: 3 games (Wed @HOU, Fri @IND, Sat SAS), 1 back-to-back, listed Out.
  • Paolo Banchero: 3 games (Wed ATL, Fri MIN, Sun @NYK), listed DTD.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Cooper Flagg: 43.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 40.3 on the board.
  • Paolo Banchero: 42.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 41.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Cooper Flagg playing tonight? · Is Paolo Banchero playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Cooper Flagg, Paolo Banchero

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Cooper Flagg or Paolo Banchero?

    Points leagues: Paolo Banchero. 41.0 fantasy points per game against 40.3, 22nd on our board to 23rd. 9-cat leagues: Cooper Flagg instead, +2.4 in summed z-scores against -1.1 (24th to 91st), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Cooper Flagg or Paolo Banchero?

    Category by category, Cooper Flagg is ahead in 4 (STL, BLK, FT% and TO) and Paolo Banchero in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and 3PM).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Cooper Flagg or Paolo Banchero?

    Cooper Flagg plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start Paolo Banchero: 122.9 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Cooper Flagg.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number