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Daniel Gafford vs Kelly Oubre Jr.: who to start in Week 2

Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Kelly Oubre Jr. 4. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 97.9 projected fantasy points to 74.1 for Daniel Gafford. Over the season, Daniel Gafford leads in both formats: 24.7 fantasy points a game to 24.5, and 98th against 157th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 28, 8:33 AM ET.

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Daniel Gafford
CDALage 28
Points leagues
#137
24.7 FP/G, slot 12.05, $4
9-cat leagues
#98
-1.2 z, slot 9.02, $9

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Kelly Oubre Jr.
PFSFINDage 30
Points leagues
#139
24.5 FP/G, slot 12.07, $4
9-cat leagues
#157
-2.5 z, slot 14.01

The call

Points leagues: Daniel Gafford. 24.7 fantasy points per game against 24.5, 137th on our board to 139th.

9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford again, -1.2 in summed z-scores against -2.5 (98th to 157th).

Category by category, Daniel Gafford is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Kelly Oubre Jr. in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Daniel Gafford produces more: 41.1 fantasy points to 29.8, on 21.6 minutes a night against 29.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Kelly Oubre Jr. 4. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 97.9 projected fantasy points to 74.1 for Daniel Gafford.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDaniel GaffordKelly Oubre Jr.
Fantasy points per game24.724.5
Minutes21.629.6
PointsPTS8.912.7
ReboundsREB6.74.5
AssistsAST1.41.7
StealsSTL0.91.2
BlocksBLK1.40.5
Threes3PM0.01.5
Field goal %FG%65.1%45.4%
Free throw %FT%66.8%73.3%
TurnoversTO1.21.2
Games, 2025-265550

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Daniel GaffordKelly Oubre Jr.
Fantasy points41.129.8
Points14.815.5
Rebounds11.15.4
Assists2.32.0
Steals1.41.4
Blocks2.30.7
Threes0.01.8
Turnovers1.91.5

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDaniel GaffordKelly Oubre Jr.
PointsPTS-1.3-0.6
ReboundsREB+0.5-0.6
AssistsAST-1.1-1.0
StealsSTL-0.4+0.4
BlocksBLK+1.5-0.3
Threes3PM-1.7-0.1
Field goal percentageFG%+1.6-0.5
Free throw percentageFT%-1.1-0.5
TurnoversTO+0.9+0.8
Total-1.2-2.5

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Kelly Oubre Jr..

PuntDaniel GaffordKelly Oubre Jr.
PTS+0.1 (#55)-1.9 (#164)
REB-1.9 (#136)-2.1 (#148)
AST-0.1 (#55)-1.6 (#131)
STL-0.8 (#86)-3.0 (#178)
BLK-3.0 (#171)-2.4 (#145)
3PM+0.6 (#43)-2.4 (#158)
FG%-3.3 (#174)-2.2 (#131)
FT%-0.1 (#61)-2.0 (#141)
TO-2.2 (#117)-3.3 (#150)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)

  • Daniel Gafford: 3 games (Mon @MIA, Wed OKC, Fri HOU).
  • Kelly Oubre Jr.: 4 games (Mon @MIL, Wed PHI, Fri @MIA, Sun BKN), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 2 streamers

Recent games

  • Daniel Gafford: 26.3 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 24.7 on the board.
  • Kelly Oubre Jr.: 16.2 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 24.5 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Daniel Gafford playing tonight? · Is Kelly Oubre Jr. playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Daniel Gafford or Kelly Oubre Jr.?

    Points leagues: Daniel Gafford. 24.7 fantasy points per game against 24.5, 137th on our board to 139th. 9-cat leagues: Daniel Gafford again, -1.2 in summed z-scores against -2.5 (98th to 157th).

  • Who wins more categories, Daniel Gafford or Kelly Oubre Jr.?

    Category by category, Daniel Gafford is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Kelly Oubre Jr. in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 2, Daniel Gafford or Kelly Oubre Jr.?

    Daniel Gafford plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Kelly Oubre Jr. 4. For that week alone, start Kelly Oubre Jr.: 97.9 projected fantasy points to 74.1 for Daniel Gafford.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 28, 2026 at 8:33 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number