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Darius Garland vs Jakob Poeltl: who to start in Week 1

Darius Garland plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jakob Poeltl 3. For that week alone, start Darius Garland: 96.9 projected fantasy points to 75.1 for Jakob Poeltl. Over the season, Darius Garland leads in both formats: 32.3 fantasy points a game to 25.0, and 114th against 115th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 2:26 AM ET.

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Darius Garland
PGLACage 26
Points leagues
#65
32.3 FP/G, slot 6.05, $15
9-cat leagues
#114
-1.5 z, slot 10.06, $6

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Jakob Poeltl
CTORage 31
Points leagues
#133
25.0 FP/G, slot 12.01, $5
9-cat leagues
#115
-1.6 z, slot 10.07, $6

The call

Points leagues: Darius Garland. 32.3 fantasy points per game against 25.0, 65th on our board to 133rd.

9-cat leagues: Darius Garland again, -1.5 in summed z-scores against -1.6 (114th to 115th).

Category by category, Darius Garland is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Jakob Poeltl in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Darius Garland produces more: 38.2 fantasy points to 36.2, on 30.4 minutes a night against 24.9. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Darius Garland plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jakob Poeltl 3. For that week alone, start Darius Garland: 96.9 projected fantasy points to 75.1 for Jakob Poeltl.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDarius GarlandJakob Poeltl
Fantasy points per game32.325.0
Minutes30.424.9
PointsPTS19.910.0
ReboundsREB2.27.1
AssistsAST6.51.9
StealsSTL1.00.9
BlocksBLK0.20.7
Threes3PM2.80.0
Field goal %FG%46.9%70.2%
Free throw %FT%82.0%60.2%
TurnoversTO3.31.2
Games, 2025-264546

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Darius GarlandJakob Poeltl
Fantasy points38.236.2
Points23.514.4
Rebounds2.610.2
Assists7.72.7
Steals1.11.3
Blocks0.21.1
Threes3.30.0
Turnovers3.91.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDarius GarlandJakob Poeltl
PointsPTS+0.6-1.1
ReboundsREB-1.6+0.6
AssistsAST+1.5-0.9
StealsSTL-0.2-0.4
BlocksBLK-1.1+0.1
Threes3PM+1.2-1.7
Field goal percentageFG%-0.4+2.2
Free throw percentageFT%+0.2-1.3
TurnoversTO-1.8+0.9
Total-1.5-1.6

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Jakob Poeltl.

PuntDarius GarlandJakob Poeltl
PTS-2.3 (#182)-0.5 (#80)
REB+0.1 (#53)-2.5 (#161)
AST-3.2 (#204)-0.7 (#83)
STL-1.5 (#121)-1.2 (#107)
BLK-0.5 (#70)-2.0 (#128)
3PM-2.9 (#180)+0.2 (#54)
FG%-1.1 (#90)-4.5 (#237)
FT%-2.0 (#139)-0.2 (#68)
TO+0.2 (#61)-2.6 (#129)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Darius Garland: 3 games (Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC).
  • Jakob Poeltl: 3 games (Wed CHI, Fri @WAS, Sun @MIN).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Darius Garland: 33.1 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 32.3 on the board.
  • Jakob Poeltl: 20.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 25.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Darius Garland playing tonight? · Is Jakob Poeltl playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Darius Garland

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Darius Garland or Jakob Poeltl?

    Points leagues: Darius Garland. 32.3 fantasy points per game against 25.0, 65th on our board to 133rd. 9-cat leagues: Darius Garland again, -1.5 in summed z-scores against -1.6 (114th to 115th).

  • Who wins more categories, Darius Garland or Jakob Poeltl?

    Category by category, Darius Garland is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Jakob Poeltl in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Darius Garland or Jakob Poeltl?

    Darius Garland plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jakob Poeltl 3. For that week alone, start Darius Garland: 96.9 projected fantasy points to 75.1 for Jakob Poeltl.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 2:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number