Davion Mitchell vs Paul Reed: who to start in Week 2
Davion Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Davion Mitchell: 77.0 projected fantasy points to 65.5 for Paul Reed. Over the season, Davion Mitchell leads in both formats: 25.7 fantasy points a game to 21.8, and 141st against 143rd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 28, 2:33 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #128
- 25.7 FP/G, slot 11.08, $6
- 9-cat leagues
- #141
- -2.2 z, slot 12.09, $3
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #171
- 21.8 FP/G, slot 15.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #143
- -2.2 z, slot 12.11, $2
The call
Points leagues: Davion Mitchell. 25.7 fantasy points per game against 21.8, 128th on our board to 171st.
9-cat leagues: Davion Mitchell again, -2.2 in summed z-scores against -2.2 (141st to 143rd).
Category by category, Davion Mitchell is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Paul Reed in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Paul Reed produces more: 49.8 fantasy points to 31.1, on 15.8 minutes a night against 29.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Davion Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Davion Mitchell: 77.0 projected fantasy points to 65.5 for Paul Reed.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Davion Mitchell | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 25.7 | 21.8 |
| Minutes | 29.7 | 15.8 |
| PointsPTS | 11.2 | 9.0 |
| ReboundsREB | 2.3 | 5.4 |
| AssistsAST | 6.6 | 1.5 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| Threes3PM | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 50.5% | 62.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 69.4% | 66.4% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 70 | 65 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Davion Mitchell | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 31.1 | 49.8 |
| Points | 13.5 | 20.6 |
| Rebounds | 2.7 | 12.2 |
| Assists | 8.0 | 3.4 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 2.0 |
| Threes | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 2.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Davion Mitchell | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.9 | -1.3 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.6 | -0.1 |
| AssistsAST | +1.5 | -1.1 |
| StealsSTL | -0.1 | -0.5 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | +0.4 |
| Threes3PM | -0.2 | -1.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.3 | +1.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.5 | -0.8 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.0 | +1.0 |
| Total | -2.2 | -2.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Paul Reed.
| Punt | Davion Mitchell | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.3 (#125) | -1.0 (#104) |
| REB | -0.7 (#85) | -2.3 (#158) |
| AST | -3.8 (#232) | -1.2 (#107) |
| STL | -2.2 (#149) | -1.8 (#140) |
| BLK | -1.4 (#109) | -2.9 (#168) |
| 3PM | -2.1 (#147) | -0.8 (#87) |
| FG% | -2.7 (#148) | -4.2 (#218) |
| FT% | -1.8 (#129) | -1.5 (#118) |
| TO | -2.3 (#118) | -3.4 (#151) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Davion Mitchell: 3 games (Mon DAL, Wed @ATL, Fri IND).
- Paul Reed: 3 games (Tue @NYK, Wed CHA, Fri @BKN), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Davion Mitchell: 31.6 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 25.7 on the board.
- Paul Reed: 31.2 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 21.8 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Davion Mitchell playing tonight? · Is Paul Reed playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Davion Mitchell or Paul Reed?
Points leagues: Davion Mitchell. 25.7 fantasy points per game against 21.8, 128th on our board to 171st. 9-cat leagues: Davion Mitchell again, -2.2 in summed z-scores against -2.2 (141st to 143rd).
Who wins more categories, Davion Mitchell or Paul Reed?
Category by category, Davion Mitchell is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Paul Reed in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 2, Davion Mitchell or Paul Reed?
Davion Mitchell plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Davion Mitchell: 77.0 projected fantasy points to 65.5 for Paul Reed.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 28, 2026 at 2:33 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number