Jarace Walker vs Paul Reed: who to start in Week 2
Jarace Walker plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Jarace Walker: 87.1 projected fantasy points to 65.5 for Paul Reed. Over the season, Paul Reed leads in both formats: 21.8 fantasy points a game to 21.8, and 143rd against 253rd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 28, 2:33 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #172
- 21.8 FP/G, slot 15.04
- 9-cat leagues
- #253
- -5.1 z, slot 22.01
- Points leagues
- #171
- 21.8 FP/G, slot 15.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #143
- -2.2 z, slot 12.11, $2
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Paul Reed. 21.8 fantasy points per game against 21.8, 171st on our board to 172nd.
9-cat leagues: Paul Reed again, -2.2 in summed z-scores against -5.1 (143rd to 253rd).
Category by category, Jarace Walker is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Paul Reed in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Paul Reed produces more: 49.8 fantasy points to 31.8, on 15.8 minutes a night against 24.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Jarace Walker plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Jarace Walker: 87.1 projected fantasy points to 65.5 for Paul Reed.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jarace Walker | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.8 | 21.8 |
| Minutes | 24.7 | 15.8 |
| PointsPTS | 10.3 | 9.0 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.2 | 5.4 |
| AssistsAST | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Threes3PM | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 40.0% | 62.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 72.4% | 66.4% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 76 | 65 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jarace Walker | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 31.8 | 49.8 |
| Points | 15.0 | 20.6 |
| Rebounds | 7.6 | 12.2 |
| Assists | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Threes | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Turnovers | 2.9 | 2.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jarace Walker | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.1 | -1.3 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| AssistsAST | -0.7 | -1.1 |
| StealsSTL | -0.6 | -0.5 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.5 | +0.4 |
| Threes3PM | -0.1 | -1.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.3 | +1.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.5 | -0.8 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.1 | +1.0 |
| Total | -5.1 | -2.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Jarace Walker.
| Punt | Jarace Walker | Paul Reed |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -4.0 (#270) | -1.0 (#104) |
| REB | -5.1 (#294) | -2.3 (#158) |
| AST | -4.4 (#261) | -1.2 (#107) |
| STL | -4.5 (#269) | -1.8 (#140) |
| BLK | -4.8 (#258) | -2.9 (#168) |
| 3PM | -4.9 (#269) | -0.8 (#87) |
| FG% | -4.0 (#209) | -4.2 (#218) |
| FT% | -4.6 (#234) | -1.5 (#118) |
| TO | -5.0 (#209) | -3.4 (#151) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Jarace Walker: 4 games (Mon @MIL, Wed PHI, Fri @MIA, Sun BKN), 1 back-to-back.
- Paul Reed: 3 games (Tue @NYK, Wed CHA, Fri @BKN), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Jarace Walker: 16.1 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 21.8 on the board.
- Paul Reed: 31.2 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 21.8 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jarace Walker playing tonight? · Is Paul Reed playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jarace Walker or Paul Reed?
Points leagues: Paul Reed. 21.8 fantasy points per game against 21.8, 171st on our board to 172nd. 9-cat leagues: Paul Reed again, -2.2 in summed z-scores against -5.1 (143rd to 253rd).
Who wins more categories, Jarace Walker or Paul Reed?
Category by category, Jarace Walker is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Paul Reed in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 2, Jarace Walker or Paul Reed?
Jarace Walker plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Paul Reed 3. For that week alone, start Jarace Walker: 87.1 projected fantasy points to 65.5 for Paul Reed.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 28, 2026 at 2:33 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number