Paul Reed vs Scoot Henderson: who to start in Week 2
Paul Reed plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Scoot Henderson 3, an even 65.5 projected fantasy points each. Over the season, Paul Reed leads in both formats: 21.8 fantasy points a game to 21.8, and 143rd against 263rd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 28, 2:33 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #171
- 21.8 FP/G, slot 15.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #143
- -2.2 z, slot 12.11, $2
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #170
- 21.8 FP/G, slot 15.02
- 9-cat leagues
- #263
- -5.3 z, slot 22.11
The call
Points leagues: Paul Reed. 21.8 fantasy points per game against 21.8, 171st on our board to 170th.
9-cat leagues: Paul Reed again, -2.2 in summed z-scores against -5.3 (143rd to 263rd).
Category by category, Paul Reed is ahead in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO) and Scoot Henderson in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Paul Reed produces more: 49.8 fantasy points to 32.8, on 15.8 minutes a night against 23.9. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Paul Reed plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Scoot Henderson 3, an even 65.5 projected fantasy points each.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Paul Reed | Scoot Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.8 | 21.8 |
| Minutes | 15.8 | 23.9 |
| PointsPTS | 9.0 | 13.0 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.4 | 2.5 |
| AssistsAST | 1.5 | 3.4 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 0.3 | 1.6 |
| Field goal %FG% | 62.9% | 40.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 66.4% | 85.2% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 65 | 30 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Paul Reed | Scoot Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 49.8 | 32.8 |
| Points | 20.6 | 19.6 |
| Rebounds | 12.2 | 3.8 |
| Assists | 3.4 | 5.2 |
| Steals | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 0.7 | 2.5 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 3.8 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Paul Reed | Scoot Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.3 | -0.6 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.1 | -1.4 |
| AssistsAST | -1.1 | -0.1 |
| StealsSTL | -0.5 | -0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.4 | -0.9 |
| Threes3PM | -1.4 | -0.0 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +1.5 | -1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.8 | +0.5 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.0 | -0.8 |
| Total | -2.2 | -5.3 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Scoot Henderson.
| Punt | Paul Reed | Scoot Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.0 (#104) | -4.7 (#309) |
| REB | -2.3 (#158) | -4.0 (#238) |
| AST | -1.2 (#107) | -5.3 (#300) |
| STL | -1.8 (#140) | -4.8 (#284) |
| BLK | -2.9 (#168) | -4.5 (#245) |
| 3PM | -0.8 (#87) | -5.4 (#296) |
| FG% | -4.2 (#218) | -4.0 (#204) |
| FT% | -1.5 (#118) | -5.9 (#298) |
| TO | -3.4 (#151) | -4.6 (#190) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Paul Reed: 3 games (Tue @NYK, Wed CHA, Fri @BKN), 1 back-to-back.
- Scoot Henderson: 3 games (Tue @LAL, Thu MEM, Sat @UTA).
Recent games
- Paul Reed: 31.2 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 21.8 on the board.
- Scoot Henderson: 10.0 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 21.8 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Paul Reed playing tonight? · Is Scoot Henderson playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Scoot Henderson
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Paul Reed or Scoot Henderson?
Points leagues: Paul Reed. 21.8 fantasy points per game against 21.8, 171st on our board to 170th. 9-cat leagues: Paul Reed again, -2.2 in summed z-scores against -5.3 (143rd to 263rd).
Who wins more categories, Paul Reed or Scoot Henderson?
Category by category, Paul Reed is ahead in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO) and Scoot Henderson in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 2, Paul Reed or Scoot Henderson?
Paul Reed plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Scoot Henderson 3, an even 65.5 projected fantasy points each.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 28, 2026 at 2:33 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number