Derrick Jones Jr. vs Mitchell Robinson: who to start in Week 2
Derrick Jones Jr. plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Mitchell Robinson 4. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 87.0 projected fantasy points to 65.0 for Derrick Jones Jr.. Over the season, Mitchell Robinson leads in points leagues (21.8 fantasy points a game to 21.7) and Derrick Jones Jr. in 9-cat leagues (128th against 166th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 27, 2:32 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #173
- 21.7 FP/G, slot 15.05
- 9-cat leagues
- #128
- -2.0 z, slot 11.08, $4
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #172
- 21.8 FP/G, slot 15.04
- 9-cat leagues
- #166
- -2.9 z, slot 14.10
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Mitchell Robinson. 21.8 fantasy points per game against 21.7, 172nd on our board to 173rd.
9-cat leagues: Derrick Jones Jr. instead, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (128th to 166th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Derrick Jones Jr. is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Mitchell Robinson produces more: 40.2 fantasy points to 28.3, on 19.5 minutes a night against 27.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Derrick Jones Jr. plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Mitchell Robinson 4. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 87.0 projected fantasy points to 65.0 for Derrick Jones Jr..
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Derrick Jones Jr. | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.7 | 21.8 |
| Minutes | 27.6 | 19.5 |
| PointsPTS | 10.3 | 5.6 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.8 | 8.1 |
| AssistsAST | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| StealsSTL | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Threes3PM | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 51.0% | 73.1% |
| Free throw %FT% | 73.0% | 38.7% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 50 | 60 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Derrick Jones Jr. | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 28.3 | 40.2 |
| Points | 13.5 | 10.3 |
| Rebounds | 4.9 | 14.9 |
| Assists | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Blocks | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Threes | 1.7 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Derrick Jones Jr. | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.1 | -1.9 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.9 | +1.1 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | -1.4 |
| StealsSTL | -0.3 | -0.5 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.3 | +1.0 |
| Threes3PM | -0.4 | -1.8 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +0.3 | +1.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.4 | -2.2 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.4 | +1.4 |
| Total | -2.0 | -2.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Mitchell Robinson.
| Punt | Derrick Jones Jr. | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.0 (#106) | -0.9 (#100) |
| REB | -1.3 (#107) | -4.4 (#264) |
| AST | -1.0 (#97) | -1.4 (#118) |
| STL | -1.8 (#137) | -2.3 (#154) |
| BLK | -2.5 (#154) | -4.2 (#228) |
| 3PM | -1.7 (#124) | -0.9 (#88) |
| FG% | -2.6 (#146) | -5.1 (#250) |
| FT% | -1.6 (#120) | -0.6 (#76) |
| TO | -3.4 (#153) | -4.4 (#188) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Derrick Jones Jr.: 3 games (Wed LAL, Fri @MIN, Sun @GSW).
- Mitchell Robinson: 4 games (Mon CHI, Tue BKN, Fri CHI, Sun @ORL), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Derrick Jones Jr.: 23.9 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 21.7 on the board.
- Mitchell Robinson: 15.1 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 21.8 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Derrick Jones Jr. playing tonight? · Is Mitchell Robinson playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Mitchell Robinson
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Derrick Jones Jr. or Mitchell Robinson?
Points leagues: Mitchell Robinson. 21.8 fantasy points per game against 21.7, 172nd on our board to 173rd. 9-cat leagues: Derrick Jones Jr. instead, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (128th to 166th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Derrick Jones Jr. or Mitchell Robinson?
Category by category, Derrick Jones Jr. is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 2, Derrick Jones Jr. or Mitchell Robinson?
Derrick Jones Jr. plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Mitchell Robinson 4. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 87.0 projected fantasy points to 65.0 for Derrick Jones Jr..
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 2:32 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number