Jarace Walker vs Mitchell Robinson: who to start in Week 1
Jarace Walker plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mitchell Robinson 2. For that week alone, start Jarace Walker: 67.8 projected fantasy points to 45.3 for Mitchell Robinson. Over the season, Mitchell Robinson leads in both formats: 22.6 fantasy points a game to 22.6, and 146th against 248th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #166
- 22.6 FP/G, slot 14.10
- 9-cat leagues
- #248
- -4.7 z, slot 21.08
- Points leagues
- #165
- 22.6 FP/G, slot 14.09
- 9-cat leagues
- #146
- -2.4 z, slot 13.02, $2
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Mitchell Robinson. 22.6 fantasy points per game against 22.6, 165th on our board to 166th.
9-cat leagues: Mitchell Robinson again, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -4.7 (146th to 248th).
Category by category, Jarace Walker is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Mitchell Robinson produces more: 41.8 fantasy points to 32.2, on 19.5 minutes a night against 25.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Jarace Walker plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mitchell Robinson 2. For that week alone, start Jarace Walker: 67.8 projected fantasy points to 45.3 for Mitchell Robinson.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jarace Walker | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 22.6 | 22.6 |
| Minutes | 25.3 | 19.5 |
| PointsPTS | 11.1 | 5.6 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.2 | 8.4 |
| AssistsAST | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Threes3PM | 1.7 | 0.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 40.9% | 73.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 74.9% | 37.8% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 76 | 60 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jarace Walker | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 32.2 | 41.8 |
| Points | 15.8 | 10.3 |
| Rebounds | 7.4 | 15.5 |
| Assists | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 2.3 |
| Threes | 2.4 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.8 | 1.4 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jarace Walker | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.9 | -1.9 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.3 | +1.2 |
| AssistsAST | -0.6 | -1.4 |
| StealsSTL | -0.7 | -0.2 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.6 | +1.1 |
| Threes3PM | +0.1 | -1.7 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.2 | +1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.3 | -2.3 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.1 | +1.4 |
| Total | -4.7 | -2.4 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Jarace Walker.
| Punt | Jarace Walker | Mitchell Robinson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.8 (#265) | -0.5 (#81) |
| REB | -4.6 (#279) | -4.1 (#256) |
| AST | -4.2 (#251) | -0.9 (#96) |
| STL | -4.1 (#236) | -2.2 (#155) |
| BLK | -4.3 (#242) | -4.0 (#227) |
| 3PM | -4.7 (#261) | -0.6 (#80) |
| FG% | -3.8 (#196) | -4.7 (#240) |
| FT% | -4.4 (#234) | -0.0 (#65) |
| TO | -4.6 (#196) | -3.9 (#174) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jarace Walker: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).
- Mitchell Robinson: 2 games (Tue @DET, Fri NYK).
Recent games
- Jarace Walker: 12.2 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 22.6 on the board.
- Mitchell Robinson: 16.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 22.6 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jarace Walker playing tonight? · Is Mitchell Robinson playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Mitchell Robinson
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jarace Walker or Mitchell Robinson?
Points leagues: Mitchell Robinson. 22.6 fantasy points per game against 22.6, 165th on our board to 166th. 9-cat leagues: Mitchell Robinson again, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -4.7 (146th to 248th).
Who wins more categories, Jarace Walker or Mitchell Robinson?
Category by category, Jarace Walker is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jarace Walker or Mitchell Robinson?
Jarace Walker plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mitchell Robinson 2. For that week alone, start Jarace Walker: 67.8 projected fantasy points to 45.3 for Mitchell Robinson.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number