Mitchell Robinson vs Royce O'Neale: who to start in Week 2
Mitchell Robinson plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Royce O'Neale 4. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 87.0 projected fantasy points to 78.3 for Royce O'Neale. Over the season, Mitchell Robinson leads in both formats: 21.8 fantasy points a game to 19.6, and 166th against 168th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 27, 12:31 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #172
- 21.8 FP/G, slot 15.04
- 9-cat leagues
- #166
- -2.9 z, slot 14.10
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #208
- 19.6 FP/G, slot 18.04
- 9-cat leagues
- #168
- -2.9 z, slot 14.12
The call
Points leagues: Mitchell Robinson. 21.8 fantasy points per game against 19.6, 172nd on our board to 208th.
9-cat leagues: Mitchell Robinson again, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (166th to 168th).
Category by category, Mitchell Robinson is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Royce O'Neale in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Mitchell Robinson produces more: 40.2 fantasy points to 28.0, on 19.5 minutes a night against 25.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Mitchell Robinson plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Royce O'Neale 4. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 87.0 projected fantasy points to 78.3 for Royce O'Neale.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Mitchell Robinson | Royce O'Neale |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.8 | 19.6 |
| Minutes | 19.5 | 25.2 |
| PointsPTS | 5.6 | 8.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 8.1 | 4.1 |
| AssistsAST | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 0.0 | 2.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 73.1% | 41.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 38.7% | 71.1% |
| TurnoversTO | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 60 | 78 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Mitchell Robinson | Royce O'Neale |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 40.2 | 28.0 |
| Points | 10.3 | 12.1 |
| Rebounds | 14.9 | 5.9 |
| Assists | 1.6 | 3.1 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Blocks | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 0.0 | 3.4 |
| Turnovers | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Mitchell Robinson | Royce O'Neale |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.9 | -1.4 |
| ReboundsREB | +1.1 | -0.7 |
| AssistsAST | -1.4 | -0.7 |
| StealsSTL | -0.5 | -0.2 |
| BlocksBLK | +1.0 | -0.6 |
| Threes3PM | -1.8 | +0.7 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +1.5 | -0.9 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -2.2 | -0.1 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.4 | +1.0 |
| Total | -2.9 | -2.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Royce O'Neale.
| Punt | Mitchell Robinson | Royce O'Neale |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.9 (#100) | -1.6 (#146) |
| REB | -4.4 (#264) | -2.3 (#154) |
| AST | -1.4 (#118) | -2.2 (#167) |
| STL | -2.3 (#154) | -2.8 (#173) |
| BLK | -4.2 (#228) | -2.4 (#151) |
| 3PM | -0.9 (#88) | -3.7 (#214) |
| FG% | -5.1 (#250) | -2.1 (#124) |
| FT% | -0.6 (#76) | -2.8 (#165) |
| TO | -4.4 (#188) | -3.9 (#171) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Mitchell Robinson: 4 games (Mon CHI, Tue BKN, Fri CHI, Sun @ORL), 1 back-to-back.
- Royce O'Neale: 4 games (Mon WAS, Wed @DET, Fri @WAS, Sat PHI), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Mitchell Robinson: 15.1 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 21.8 on the board.
- Royce O'Neale: 8.0 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 19.6 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Mitchell Robinson playing tonight? · Is Royce O'Neale playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Mitchell Robinson
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Mitchell Robinson or Royce O'Neale?
Points leagues: Mitchell Robinson. 21.8 fantasy points per game against 19.6, 172nd on our board to 208th. 9-cat leagues: Mitchell Robinson again, -2.9 in summed z-scores against -2.9 (166th to 168th).
Who wins more categories, Mitchell Robinson or Royce O'Neale?
Category by category, Mitchell Robinson is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Royce O'Neale in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 2, Mitchell Robinson or Royce O'Neale?
Mitchell Robinson plays 4 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Royce O'Neale 4. For that week alone, start Mitchell Robinson: 87.0 projected fantasy points to 78.3 for Royce O'Neale.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 12:31 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number