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Kris Dunn vs Obi Toppin: who to start in Week 1

Kris Dunn plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Obi Toppin 3. For that week alone, start Kris Dunn: 64.7 projected fantasy points to 64.4 for Obi Toppin. Over the season, Kris Dunn leads in both formats: 21.6 fantasy points a game to 21.5, and 124th against 162nd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 8:57 AM ET.

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Kris Dunn
SGPGLACage 32
Points leagues
#183
21.6 FP/G, slot 16.03
9-cat leagues
#124
-1.9 z, slot 11.04, $5

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Obi Toppin
PFSFINDage 28
Points leagues
#184
21.5 FP/G, slot 16.04
9-cat leagues
#162
-2.7 z, slot 14.06

The call

Points leagues: Kris Dunn. 21.6 fantasy points per game against 21.5, 183rd on our board to 184th.

9-cat leagues: Kris Dunn again, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -2.7 (124th to 162nd).

Category by category, Kris Dunn is ahead in 3 (AST, STL and BLK) and Obi Toppin in 6 (PTS, REB, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Obi Toppin produces more: 42.6 fantasy points to 28.6, on 18.1 minutes a night against 27.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Kris Dunn plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Obi Toppin 3. For that week alone, start Kris Dunn: 64.7 projected fantasy points to 64.4 for Obi Toppin.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameKris DunnObi Toppin
Fantasy points per game21.621.5
Minutes27.218.1
PointsPTS7.312.1
ReboundsREB3.44.3
AssistsAST3.82.2
StealsSTL1.70.6
BlocksBLK0.30.0
Threes3PM1.01.7
Field goal %FG%47.2%51.0%
Free throw %FT%73.4%89.0%
TurnoversTO1.41.1
Games, 2025-268224

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Kris DunnObi Toppin
Fantasy points28.642.6
Points9.624.1
Rebounds4.58.6
Assists5.04.4
Steals2.21.2
Blocks0.40.1
Threes1.43.4
Turnovers1.82.2

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryKris DunnObi Toppin
PointsPTS-1.6-0.8
ReboundsREB-1.1-0.7
AssistsAST+0.1-0.7
StealsSTL+1.9-1.2
BlocksBLK-0.8-1.3
Threes3PM-0.6+0.1
Field goal percentageFG%-0.1+0.3
Free throw percentageFT%-0.2+0.6
TurnoversTO+0.6+1.0
Total-1.9-2.7

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting steals flips the 9-cat answer to Obi Toppin.

PuntKris DunnObi Toppin
PTS-0.4 (#76)-2.0 (#165)
REB-1.0 (#90)-2.1 (#137)
AST-2.0 (#150)-2.1 (#151)
STL-3.9 (#220)-1.6 (#124)
BLK-1.2 (#98)-1.5 (#109)
3PM-1.3 (#105)-2.9 (#177)
FG%-2.0 (#123)-3.1 (#163)
FT%-1.7 (#122)-3.4 (#188)
TO-2.5 (#125)-3.8 (#169)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Kris Dunn: 3 games (Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC).
  • Obi Toppin: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Kris Dunn: 36.5 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.6 on the board.
  • Obi Toppin: 31.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.5 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Kris Dunn playing tonight? · Is Obi Toppin playing tonight?

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Kris Dunn or Obi Toppin?

    Points leagues: Kris Dunn. 21.6 fantasy points per game against 21.5, 183rd on our board to 184th. 9-cat leagues: Kris Dunn again, -1.9 in summed z-scores against -2.7 (124th to 162nd).

  • Who wins more categories, Kris Dunn or Obi Toppin?

    Category by category, Kris Dunn is ahead in 3 (AST, STL and BLK) and Obi Toppin in 6 (PTS, REB, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Kris Dunn or Obi Toppin?

    Kris Dunn plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Obi Toppin 3. For that week alone, start Kris Dunn: 64.7 projected fantasy points to 64.4 for Obi Toppin.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 8:57 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number