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Obi Toppin vs RJ Barrett: who to start in Week 1

Obi Toppin plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), RJ Barrett 3. For that week alone, start RJ Barrett: 95.4 projected fantasy points to 64.4 for Obi Toppin. Over the season, RJ Barrett leads in both formats: 31.8 fantasy points a game to 21.5, and 161st against 162nd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 8:57 AM ET.

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Obi Toppin
PFSFINDage 28
Points leagues
#184
21.5 FP/G, slot 16.04
9-cat leagues
#162
-2.7 z, slot 14.06
RJ Barrett
SFPFSGTORage 26
Points leagues
#70
31.8 FP/G, slot 6.10, $14
9-cat leagues
#161
-2.7 z, slot 14.05

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: RJ Barrett. 31.8 fantasy points per game against 21.5, 70th on our board to 184th.

9-cat leagues: RJ Barrett again, -2.7 in summed z-scores against -2.7 (161st to 162nd).

Category by category, Obi Toppin is ahead in 4 (3PM, FG%, FT% and TO) and RJ Barrett in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, STL and BLK).

Per 36 minutes, Obi Toppin produces more: 42.6 fantasy points to 38.1, on 18.1 minutes a night against 30.0. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Obi Toppin plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), RJ Barrett 3. For that week alone, start RJ Barrett: 95.4 projected fantasy points to 64.4 for Obi Toppin.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameObi ToppinRJ Barrett
Fantasy points per game21.531.8
Minutes18.130.0
PointsPTS12.119.3
ReboundsREB4.35.2
AssistsAST2.23.3
StealsSTL0.60.7
BlocksBLK0.00.3
Threes3PM1.71.6
Field goal %FG%51.0%49.6%
Free throw %FT%89.0%70.4%
TurnoversTO1.11.7
Games, 2025-262457

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Obi ToppinRJ Barrett
Fantasy points42.638.1
Points24.123.2
Rebounds8.66.2
Assists4.44.0
Steals1.20.8
Blocks0.10.4
Threes3.41.9
Turnovers2.22.0

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryObi ToppinRJ Barrett
PointsPTS-0.8+0.5
ReboundsREB-0.7-0.3
AssistsAST-0.7-0.2
StealsSTL-1.2-0.9
BlocksBLK-1.3-0.7
Threes3PM+0.1-0.1
Field goal percentageFG%+0.3+0.2
Free throw percentageFT%+0.6-1.5
TurnoversTO+1.0+0.2
Total-2.7-2.7

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and field goal percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Obi Toppin.

PuntObi ToppinRJ Barrett
PTS-2.0 (#165)-3.3 (#234)
REB-2.1 (#137)-2.8 (#182)
AST-2.1 (#151)-2.7 (#183)
STL-1.6 (#124)-1.9 (#139)
BLK-1.5 (#109)-2.2 (#142)
3PM-2.9 (#177)-2.7 (#172)
FG%-3.1 (#163)-3.6 (#187)
FT%-3.4 (#188)-1.4 (#111)
TO-3.8 (#169)-3.0 (#139)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Obi Toppin: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).
  • RJ Barrett: 3 games (Wed CHI, Fri @WAS, Sun @MIN).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Obi Toppin: 31.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.5 on the board.
  • RJ Barrett: 28.3 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 31.8 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Obi Toppin playing tonight? · Is RJ Barrett playing tonight?

Rookie cards: RJ Barrett

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Obi Toppin or RJ Barrett?

    Points leagues: RJ Barrett. 31.8 fantasy points per game against 21.5, 70th on our board to 184th. 9-cat leagues: RJ Barrett again, -2.7 in summed z-scores against -2.7 (161st to 162nd).

  • Who wins more categories, Obi Toppin or RJ Barrett?

    Category by category, Obi Toppin is ahead in 4 (3PM, FG%, FT% and TO) and RJ Barrett in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, STL and BLK).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Obi Toppin or RJ Barrett?

    Obi Toppin plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), RJ Barrett 3. For that week alone, start RJ Barrett: 95.4 projected fantasy points to 64.4 for Obi Toppin.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 8:57 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number