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Devin Booker vs Paolo Banchero: who to start in Week 1

Devin Booker plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start Devin Booker: 81.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Paolo Banchero. Over the season, Paolo Banchero leads in points leagues (41.0 fantasy points a game to 40.8) and Devin Booker in 9-cat leagues (34th against 94th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 25, 2:29 PM ET.

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Devin Booker
SGPGPHXage 29
Points leagues
#22
40.8 FP/G, slot 2.10, $28
9-cat leagues
#34
+1.4 z, slot 3.10, $23

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Paolo Banchero
PFORLage 23OUT
Points leagues
#20
41.0 FP/G, slot 2.08, $28
9-cat leagues
#94
-1.2 z, slot 8.10, $9

Out (Ankle)

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Paolo Banchero. 41.0 fantasy points per game against 40.8, 20th on our board to 22nd.

9-cat leagues: Devin Booker instead, +1.4 in summed z-scores against -1.2 (34th to 94th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Devin Booker is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Paolo Banchero in 3 (REB, BLK and FG%).

Per 36 minutes, Devin Booker produces more: 43.9 fantasy points to 42.5, on 33.5 minutes a night against 34.7. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Devin Booker plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start Devin Booker: 81.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Paolo Banchero.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameDevin BookerPaolo Banchero
Fantasy points per game40.841.0
Minutes33.534.7
PointsPTS26.922.5
ReboundsREB4.18.2
AssistsAST5.95.5
StealsSTL0.80.7
BlocksBLK0.40.5
Threes3PM1.81.2
Field goal %FG%47.7%48.0%
Free throw %FT%88.1%76.4%
TurnoversTO3.13.2
Games, 2025-266472

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Devin BookerPaolo Banchero
Fantasy points43.942.5
Points28.923.3
Rebounds4.48.5
Assists6.35.7
Steals0.80.8
Blocks0.40.5
Threes1.91.3
Turnovers3.43.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryDevin BookerPaolo Banchero
PointsPTS+1.9+1.1
ReboundsREB-0.7+1.1
AssistsAST+1.1+0.9
StealsSTL-0.7-0.8
BlocksBLK-0.7-0.4
Threes3PM+0.2-0.5
Field goal percentageFG%-0.3-0.1
Free throw percentageFT%+2.2-0.9
TurnoversTO-1.6-1.6
Total+1.4-1.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Paolo Banchero.

PuntDevin BookerPaolo Banchero
PTS-0.5 (#81)-2.3 (#185)
REB+2.2 (#21)-2.6 (#171)
AST+0.2 (#49)-2.2 (#160)
STL+2.0 (#22)-0.4 (#73)
BLK+2.1 (#27)-1.1 (#95)
3PM+1.0 (#40)-0.8 (#85)
FG%+1.8 (#28)-1.9 (#117)
FT%-1.0 (#92)-0.3 (#71)
TO+3.0 (#25)+0.5 (#52)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Devin Booker: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW).
  • Paolo Banchero: 3 games (Wed ATL, Fri MIN, Sun @NYK), listed Out.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Devin Booker: 47.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 40.8 on the board.
  • Paolo Banchero: 42.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 41.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Devin Booker playing tonight? · Is Paolo Banchero playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Devin Booker, Paolo Banchero

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Devin Booker or Paolo Banchero?

    Points leagues: Paolo Banchero. 41.0 fantasy points per game against 40.8, 20th on our board to 22nd. 9-cat leagues: Devin Booker instead, +1.4 in summed z-scores against -1.2 (34th to 94th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Devin Booker or Paolo Banchero?

    Category by category, Devin Booker is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Paolo Banchero in 3 (REB, BLK and FG%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Devin Booker or Paolo Banchero?

    Devin Booker plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start Devin Booker: 81.6 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Paolo Banchero.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 2:29 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number