Dillon Brooks vs Jaxson Hayes: who to start in Week 1
Dillon Brooks plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jaxson Hayes 3. For that week alone, start Jaxson Hayes: 56.9 projected fantasy points to 55.9 for Dillon Brooks. Over the season, Dillon Brooks leads in both formats: 28.0 fantasy points a game to 19.0, and 175th against 177th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 4:26 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #104
- 28.0 FP/G, slot 9.08, $9
- 9-cat leagues
- #175
- -3.1 z, slot 15.07
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #223
- 19.0 FP/G, slot 19.07
- 9-cat leagues
- #177
- -3.1 z, slot 15.09
The call
Points leagues: Dillon Brooks. 28.0 fantasy points per game against 19.0, 104th on our board to 223rd.
9-cat leagues: Dillon Brooks again, -3.1 in summed z-scores against -3.1 (175th to 177th).
Category by category, Dillon Brooks is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Jaxson Hayes in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Jaxson Hayes produces more: 35.6 fantasy points to 33.4, on 19.2 minutes a night against 30.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Dillon Brooks plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jaxson Hayes 3. For that week alone, start Jaxson Hayes: 56.9 projected fantasy points to 55.9 for Dillon Brooks.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Dillon Brooks | Jaxson Hayes |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 28.0 | 19.0 |
| Minutes | 30.2 | 19.2 |
| PointsPTS | 19.6 | 7.9 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| AssistsAST | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.2 | 1.1 |
| Threes3PM | 2.2 | 0.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 43.2% | 76.5% |
| Free throw %FT% | 82.9% | 63.9% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 56 | 66 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Dillon Brooks | Jaxson Hayes |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 33.4 | 35.6 |
| Points | 23.3 | 14.9 |
| Rebounds | 4.4 | 7.9 |
| Assists | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 2.1 |
| Threes | 2.6 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 0.9 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Dillon Brooks | Jaxson Hayes |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.6 | -1.5 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.0 | -0.7 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | -1.3 |
| StealsSTL | -0.2 | -1.4 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.1 | +0.9 |
| Threes3PM | +0.6 | -1.6 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.5 | +1.9 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.4 | -1.2 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.1 | +1.7 |
| Total | -3.1 | -3.1 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Jaxson Hayes.
| Punt | Dillon Brooks | Jaxson Hayes |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.7 (#256) | -1.7 (#152) |
| REB | -2.2 (#141) | -2.8 (#180) |
| AST | -2.2 (#159) | -2.0 (#148) |
| STL | -3.0 (#186) | -1.9 (#139) |
| BLK | -2.1 (#137) | -4.4 (#247) |
| 3PM | -3.8 (#218) | -1.5 (#114) |
| FG% | -1.6 (#108) | -5.9 (#292) |
| FT% | -3.6 (#202) | -1.9 (#135) |
| TO | -3.2 (#148) | -5.0 (#214) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Dillon Brooks: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW).
- Jaxson Hayes: 3 games (Wed @MEM, Fri NOP, Sun LAL).
Recent games
- Dillon Brooks: 12.8 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 28.0 on the board.
- Jaxson Hayes: 33.8 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 19.0 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Dillon Brooks playing tonight? · Is Jaxson Hayes playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Dillon Brooks or Jaxson Hayes?
Points leagues: Dillon Brooks. 28.0 fantasy points per game against 19.0, 104th on our board to 223rd. 9-cat leagues: Dillon Brooks again, -3.1 in summed z-scores against -3.1 (175th to 177th).
Who wins more categories, Dillon Brooks or Jaxson Hayes?
Category by category, Dillon Brooks is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Jaxson Hayes in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Dillon Brooks or Jaxson Hayes?
Dillon Brooks plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jaxson Hayes 3. For that week alone, start Jaxson Hayes: 56.9 projected fantasy points to 55.9 for Dillon Brooks.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 4:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number