Jalen Green vs Wendell Carter Jr.: who to start in Week 1
Jalen Green plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Wendell Carter Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Wendell Carter Jr.: 81.0 projected fantasy points to 54.8 for Jalen Green. Over the season, Jalen Green leads in points leagues (27.4 fantasy points a game to 27.0) and Wendell Carter Jr. in 9-cat leagues (83rd against 226th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 8:57 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #112
- 27.4 FP/G, slot 10.04, $8
- 9-cat leagues
- #226
- -4.2 z, slot 19.10
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #114
- 27.0 FP/G, slot 10.06, $7
- 9-cat leagues
- #83
- -0.8 z, slot 7.11, $11
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Jalen Green. 27.4 fantasy points per game against 27.0, 112th on our board to 114th.
9-cat leagues: Wendell Carter Jr. instead, -0.8 in summed z-scores against -4.2 (83rd to 226th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Jalen Green is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and 3PM) and Wendell Carter Jr. in 5 (REB, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Jalen Green produces more: 38.2 fantasy points to 33.0, on 25.8 minutes a night against 29.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Jalen Green plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Wendell Carter Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Wendell Carter Jr.: 81.0 projected fantasy points to 54.8 for Jalen Green.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jalen Green | Wendell Carter Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 27.4 | 27.0 |
| Minutes | 25.8 | 29.4 |
| PointsPTS | 17.3 | 12.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.5 | 7.4 |
| AssistsAST | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Threes3PM | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Field goal %FG% | 41.8% | 53.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 74.7% | 81.2% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 32 | 78 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jalen Green | Wendell Carter Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 38.2 | 33.0 |
| Points | 24.1 | 15.2 |
| Rebounds | 4.9 | 9.0 |
| Assists | 4.0 | 2.3 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Threes | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 1.5 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jalen Green | Wendell Carter Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.1 | -0.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.0 | +0.7 |
| AssistsAST | -0.4 | -0.9 |
| StealsSTL | -0.1 | -0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | -0.2 |
| Threes3PM | +0.6 | -0.7 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.8 | +0.6 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.4 | +0.1 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.5 | +0.8 |
| Total | -4.2 | -0.8 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Wendell Carter Jr. stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Jalen Green | Wendell Carter Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -4.4 (#292) | -0.2 (#66) |
| REB | -3.4 (#215) | -1.7 (#122) |
| AST | -4.0 (#242) | +0.1 (#53) |
| STL | -4.3 (#257) | -0.2 (#68) |
| BLK | -3.6 (#201) | -0.9 (#83) |
| 3PM | -4.9 (#272) | -0.1 (#67) |
| FG% | -2.6 (#146) | -1.8 (#112) |
| FT% | -3.9 (#217) | -1.0 (#91) |
| TO | -3.8 (#166) | -1.8 (#103) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jalen Green: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW).
- Wendell Carter Jr.: 3 games (Wed ATL, Fri MIN, Sun @NYK).
Recent games
- Jalen Green: 17.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 27.4 on the board.
- Wendell Carter Jr.: 33.4 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 27.0 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jalen Green playing tonight? · Is Wendell Carter Jr. playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Jalen Green
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jalen Green or Wendell Carter Jr.?
Points leagues: Jalen Green. 27.4 fantasy points per game against 27.0, 112th on our board to 114th. 9-cat leagues: Wendell Carter Jr. instead, -0.8 in summed z-scores against -4.2 (83rd to 226th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Jalen Green or Wendell Carter Jr.?
Category by category, Jalen Green is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and 3PM) and Wendell Carter Jr. in 5 (REB, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jalen Green or Wendell Carter Jr.?
Jalen Green plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Wendell Carter Jr. 3. For that week alone, start Wendell Carter Jr.: 81.0 projected fantasy points to 54.8 for Jalen Green.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 8:57 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number