Giannis Antetokounmpo vs Luka Dončić: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Luka Dončić in both formats: 57.7 fantasy points a game to 49.1 in points leagues, and 6th against 50th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #5
- 49.1 FP/G, slot 1.05, $39
- 9-cat leagues
- #50
- +0.5 z, slot 5.02, $18
Day to day (Rest)
- Points leagues
- #2
- 57.7 FP/G, slot 1.02, $52
- 9-cat leagues
- #6
- +6.2 z, slot 1.06, $49
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Luka Dončić. 57.7 fantasy points per game against 49.1, 2nd on our board to 5th.
9-cat leagues: Luka Dončić again, +6.2 in summed z-scores against +0.5 (6th to 50th).
Category by category, Giannis Antetokounmpo is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Luka Dončić in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Giannis Antetokounmpo produces more: 61.3 fantasy points to 58.1, on 28.9 minutes a night against 35.8. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Giannis Antetokounmpo plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Luka Dončić 3. For that week alone, start Luka Dončić: 173.2 projected fantasy points to 147.4 for Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Giannis Antetokounmpo | Luka Dončić |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 49.1 | 57.7 |
| Minutes | 28.9 | 35.8 |
| PointsPTS | 27.6 | 33.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 9.8 | 7.7 |
| AssistsAST | 5.4 | 8.3 |
| StealsSTL | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Threes3PM | 0.4 | 4.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 62.4% | 47.6% |
| Free throw %FT% | 65.0% | 78.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 3.2 | 4.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 36 | 64 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | Luka Dončić |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 61.3 | 58.1 |
| Points | 34.4 | 33.7 |
| Rebounds | 12.2 | 7.8 |
| Assists | 6.8 | 8.3 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 0.5 | 4.0 |
| Turnovers | 4.0 | 4.0 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Giannis Antetokounmpo | Luka Dončić |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +1.9 | +2.9 |
| ReboundsREB | +1.8 | +0.8 |
| AssistsAST | +0.9 | +2.3 |
| StealsSTL | -0.2 | +1.8 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.0 | -0.3 |
| Threes3PM | -1.2 | +2.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +3.6 | -0.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -4.5 | -0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | -1.7 | -2.7 |
| Total | +0.5 | +6.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Luka Dončić stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Giannis Antetokounmpo | Luka Dončić |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.6 (#134) | +3.0 (#8) |
| REB | -2.1 (#140) | +5.1 (#7) |
| AST | -0.7 (#80) | +3.6 (#9) |
| STL | +0.5 (#47) | +4.3 (#7) |
| BLK | +0.1 (#65) | +6.5 (#5) |
| 3PM | +1.7 (#29) | +3.6 (#10) |
| FG% | -5.2 (#257) | +6.4 (#6) |
| FT% | +4.9 (#7) | +6.5 (#3) |
| TO | +2.1 (#34) | +9.1 (#3) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3 games (Wed MIN, Fri DET, Sat @CHA), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
- Luka Dončić: 3 games (Wed GSW, Fri LAC, Sun @UTA).
Recent games
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: 44.5 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 49.1 on the board.
- Luka Dončić: 60.4 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 57.7 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Giannis Antetokounmpo or Luka Dončić in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Luka Dončić. 57.7 fantasy points per game against 49.1, 2nd on our board to 5th. 9-cat leagues: Luka Dončić again, +6.2 in summed z-scores against +0.5 (6th to 50th).
Who wins more categories, Giannis Antetokounmpo or Luka Dončić?
Category by category, Giannis Antetokounmpo is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Luka Dončić in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Giannis Antetokounmpo or Luka Dončić?
Giannis Antetokounmpo plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Luka Dončić 3. For that week alone, start Luka Dončić: 173.2 projected fantasy points to 147.4 for Giannis Antetokounmpo.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number