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Ivica Zubac vs Paolo Banchero: who to start in Week 1

Ivica Zubac plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start Paolo Banchero: 122.9 projected fantasy points to 95.9 for Ivica Zubac. Over the season, Paolo Banchero leads in points leagues (41.0 fantasy points a game to 32.0) and Ivica Zubac in 9-cat leagues (90th against 91st). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET.

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Ivica Zubac
CINDage 29
Points leagues
#68
32.0 FP/G, slot 6.08, $15
9-cat leagues
#90
-1.1 z, slot 8.06, $9

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Paolo Banchero
PFORLage 23DTD
Points leagues
#22
41.0 FP/G, slot 2.10, $28
9-cat leagues
#91
-1.1 z, slot 8.07, $9

Day to day (Ankle)

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Paolo Banchero. 41.0 fantasy points per game against 32.0, 22nd on our board to 68th.

9-cat leagues: Ivica Zubac instead, -1.1 in summed z-scores against -1.1 (90th to 91st), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Ivica Zubac is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Paolo Banchero in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Paolo Banchero produces more: 42.5 fantasy points to 38.4, on 34.7 minutes a night against 29.9. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Ivica Zubac plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start Paolo Banchero: 122.9 projected fantasy points to 95.9 for Ivica Zubac.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameIvica ZubacPaolo Banchero
Fantasy points per game32.041.0
Minutes29.934.7
PointsPTS13.922.5
ReboundsREB10.98.2
AssistsAST2.05.5
StealsSTL0.30.7
BlocksBLK0.90.5
Threes3PM0.01.2
Field goal %FG%59.5%48.0%
Free throw %FT%68.6%76.4%
TurnoversTO1.83.2
Games, 2025-264872

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Ivica ZubacPaolo Banchero
Fantasy points38.442.5
Points16.723.3
Rebounds13.18.5
Assists2.55.7
Steals0.40.8
Blocks1.10.5
Threes0.01.3
Turnovers2.23.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryIvica ZubacPaolo Banchero
PointsPTS-0.4+1.1
ReboundsREB+2.3+1.1
AssistsAST-0.8+0.9
StealsSTL-1.9-0.8
BlocksBLK+0.5-0.4
Threes3PM-1.7-0.4
Field goal percentageFG%+1.8-0.2
Free throw percentageFT%-1.0-0.8
TurnoversTO+0.1-1.6
Total-1.1-1.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Paolo Banchero.

PuntIvica ZubacPaolo Banchero
PTS-0.7 (#91)-2.2 (#180)
REB-3.7 (#241)-2.6 (#169)
AST-0.4 (#67)-2.2 (#160)
STL+0.7 (#43)-0.4 (#72)
BLK-2.0 (#129)-1.0 (#91)
3PM+0.6 (#45)-0.7 (#84)
FG%-3.7 (#191)-1.8 (#114)
FT%-0.0 (#60)-0.3 (#72)
TO-1.3 (#92)+0.5 (#51)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Ivica Zubac: 3 games (Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN).
  • Paolo Banchero: 3 games (Wed ATL, Fri MIN, Sun @NYK), listed DTD.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Ivica Zubac: 32.1 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 32.0 on the board.
  • Paolo Banchero: 42.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 41.0 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Ivica Zubac playing tonight? · Is Paolo Banchero playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Paolo Banchero

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Ivica Zubac or Paolo Banchero?

    Points leagues: Paolo Banchero. 41.0 fantasy points per game against 32.0, 22nd on our board to 68th. 9-cat leagues: Ivica Zubac instead, -1.1 in summed z-scores against -1.1 (90th to 91st), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Ivica Zubac or Paolo Banchero?

    Category by category, Ivica Zubac is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Paolo Banchero in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Ivica Zubac or Paolo Banchero?

    Ivica Zubac plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Paolo Banchero 3. For that week alone, start Paolo Banchero: 122.9 projected fantasy points to 95.9 for Ivica Zubac.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number