Jabari Smith Jr. vs Mark Williams: who to start in Week 1
Jabari Smith Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mark Williams 2. For that week alone, start Jabari Smith Jr.: 91.2 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Mark Williams. Over the season, Jabari Smith Jr. leads in both formats: 30.4 fantasy points a game to 27.1, and 55th against 56th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 25, 2:29 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #80
- 30.4 FP/G, slot 7.08, $12
- 9-cat leagues
- #55
- +0.2 z, slot 5.07, $16
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #112
- 27.1 FP/G, slot 10.04, $7
- 9-cat leagues
- #56
- +0.0 z, slot 5.08, $16
Out (Shoulder)
The call
Points leagues: Jabari Smith Jr.. 30.4 fantasy points per game against 27.1, 80th on our board to 112th.
9-cat leagues: Jabari Smith Jr. again, +0.2 in summed z-scores against +0.0 (55th to 56th).
Category by category, Jabari Smith Jr. is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Mark Williams in 4 (REB, STL, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Mark Williams produces more: 41.3 fantasy points to 31.2, on 23.6 minutes a night against 35.1. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Jabari Smith Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mark Williams 2. For that week alone, start Jabari Smith Jr.: 91.2 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Mark Williams.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jabari Smith Jr. | Mark Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 30.4 | 27.1 |
| Minutes | 35.1 | 23.6 |
| PointsPTS | 16.0 | 11.7 |
| ReboundsREB | 6.6 | 8.0 |
| AssistsAST | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Threes3PM | 2.3 | 0.0 |
| Field goal %FG% | 46.2% | 64.4% |
| Free throw %FT% | 79.6% | 77.1% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 77 | 60 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jabari Smith Jr. | Mark Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 31.2 | 41.3 |
| Points | 16.4 | 17.8 |
| Rebounds | 6.7 | 12.1 |
| Assists | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Steals | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Blocks | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Threes | 2.4 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jabari Smith Jr. | Mark Williams |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.1 | -0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.4 | +1.0 |
| AssistsAST | -0.9 | -1.3 |
| StealsSTL | -0.7 | -0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | +0.5 | +0.5 |
| Threes3PM | +0.7 | -1.7 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.5 | +1.9 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.0 | -0.2 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.7 | +1.0 |
| Total | +0.2 | +0.0 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting points, assists, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Mark Williams.
| Punt | Jabari Smith Jr. | Mark Williams |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | +0.2 (#56) | +0.8 (#35) |
| REB | -0.3 (#65) | -1.1 (#105) |
| AST | +1.0 (#38) | +1.3 (#31) |
| STL | +0.7 (#41) | +0.3 (#54) |
| BLK | -0.5 (#75) | -0.7 (#82) |
| 3PM | -0.6 (#80) | +1.7 (#28) |
| FG% | +0.6 (#48) | -2.4 (#138) |
| FT% | +0.1 (#57) | +0.3 (#53) |
| TO | -0.6 (#73) | -1.1 (#83) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jabari Smith Jr.: 3 games (Wed DAL, Fri @SAS, Sat @ATL), 1 back-to-back.
- Mark Williams: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW), listed Out.
Recent games
- Jabari Smith Jr.: 30.5 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 30.4 on the board.
- Mark Williams: 21.8 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 27.1 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jabari Smith Jr. playing tonight? · Is Mark Williams playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Mark Williams
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jabari Smith Jr. or Mark Williams?
Points leagues: Jabari Smith Jr.. 30.4 fantasy points per game against 27.1, 80th on our board to 112th. 9-cat leagues: Jabari Smith Jr. again, +0.2 in summed z-scores against +0.0 (55th to 56th).
Who wins more categories, Jabari Smith Jr. or Mark Williams?
Category by category, Jabari Smith Jr. is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Mark Williams in 4 (REB, STL, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jabari Smith Jr. or Mark Williams?
Jabari Smith Jr. plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mark Williams 2. For that week alone, start Jabari Smith Jr.: 91.2 projected fantasy points to 0.0 for Mark Williams.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 2:29 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number