Jakob Poeltl vs Pelle Larsson: who to start in Week 3
Jakob Poeltl plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Pelle Larsson 4. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 90.0 projected fantasy points to 69.3 for Jakob Poeltl. Over the season, Jakob Poeltl leads in both formats: 23.1 fantasy points a game to 22.5, and 176th against 186th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 2:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #167
- 23.1 FP/G, slot 14.11
- 9-cat leagues
- #176
- -3.0 z, slot 15.08
Day to day (Shoulder)
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #171
- 22.5 FP/G, slot 15.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #186
- -3.2 z, slot 16.06
The call
Points leagues: Jakob Poeltl. 23.1 fantasy points per game against 22.5, 167th on our board to 171st.
9-cat leagues: Jakob Poeltl again, -3.0 in summed z-scores against -3.2 (176th to 186th).
Category by category, Jakob Poeltl is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Pelle Larsson in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Per 36 minutes, Jakob Poeltl produces more: 34.9 fantasy points to 29.5, on 23.8 minutes a night against 27.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Jakob Poeltl plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Pelle Larsson 4. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 90.0 projected fantasy points to 69.3 for Jakob Poeltl.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jakob Poeltl | Pelle Larsson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 23.1 | 22.5 |
| Minutes | 23.8 | 27.4 |
| PointsPTS | 9.2 | 11.4 |
| ReboundsREB | 6.7 | 3.5 |
| AssistsAST | 1.8 | 3.5 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Threes3PM | 0.0 | 0.9 |
| Field goal %FG% | 67.5% | 48.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 59.2% | 84.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 46 | 70 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jakob Poeltl | Pelle Larsson |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 34.9 | 29.5 |
| Points | 13.9 | 15.0 |
| Rebounds | 10.2 | 4.6 |
| Assists | 2.7 | 4.6 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Blocks | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Threes | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Turnovers | 1.6 | 1.9 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Jakob Poeltl | Pelle Larsson |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.3 | -0.9 |
| ReboundsREB | +0.4 | -1.0 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | -0.2 |
| StealsSTL | -0.7 | -0.6 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.1 | -1.0 |
| Threes3PM | -1.7 | -0.8 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | +1.8 | +0.1 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -1.4 | +0.5 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.1 | +0.7 |
| Total | -3.0 | -3.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Pelle Larsson.
| Punt | Jakob Poeltl | Pelle Larsson |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.6 (#148) | -2.3 (#184) |
| REB | -3.6 (#229) | -2.3 (#154) |
| AST | -2.0 (#149) | -3.1 (#200) |
| STL | -2.4 (#163) | -2.7 (#176) |
| BLK | -3.2 (#179) | -2.5 (#151) |
| 3PM | -1.1 (#98) | -2.4 (#166) |
| FG% | -5.4 (#274) | -3.5 (#183) |
| FT% | -1.5 (#119) | -3.7 (#211) |
| TO | -4.3 (#180) | -4.0 (#174) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 438 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Jakob Poeltl: 3 games (Mon @LAC, Wed @DEN, Fri @MIL), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
- Pelle Larsson: 4 games (Mon @LAL, Wed @LAC, Thu @GSW, Sun @SAC), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Jakob Poeltl: 15.5 fantasy points a game over his last 5 of 2026-27, against 23.1 on the board.
- Pelle Larsson: 23.5 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 22.5 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jakob Poeltl playing tonight? · Is Pelle Larsson playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Pelle Larsson
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jakob Poeltl or Pelle Larsson?
Points leagues: Jakob Poeltl. 23.1 fantasy points per game against 22.5, 167th on our board to 171st. 9-cat leagues: Jakob Poeltl again, -3.0 in summed z-scores against -3.2 (176th to 186th).
Who wins more categories, Jakob Poeltl or Pelle Larsson?
Category by category, Jakob Poeltl is ahead in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO) and Pelle Larsson in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%).
Who should I start in Week 3, Jakob Poeltl or Pelle Larsson?
Jakob Poeltl plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Pelle Larsson 4. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 90.0 projected fantasy points to 69.3 for Jakob Poeltl.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 2:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number