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Ja'Kobe Walter vs Pelle Larsson: who to start in Week 1

Ja'Kobe Walter plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 65.2 projected fantasy points to 50.1 for Ja'Kobe Walter. Over the season, Pelle Larsson leads in points leagues (21.7 fantasy points a game to 16.7) and Ja'Kobe Walter in 9-cat leagues (196th against 198th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 25, 2:29 PM ET.

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Ja'Kobe Walter
SGSFTORage 22
Points leagues
#250
16.7 FP/G, slot 21.10
9-cat leagues
#196
-3.7 z, slot 17.04

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Pelle Larsson
SFSGMIAage 25
Points leagues
#173
21.7 FP/G, slot 15.05
9-cat leagues
#198
-3.7 z, slot 17.06

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Pelle Larsson. 21.7 fantasy points per game against 16.7, 173rd on our board to 250th.

9-cat leagues: Ja'Kobe Walter instead, -3.7 in summed z-scores against -3.7 (196th to 198th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Ja'Kobe Walter is ahead in 3 (STL, 3PM and TO) and Pelle Larsson in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, FG% and FT%).

Per 36 minutes, Pelle Larsson produces more: 29.0 fantasy points to 28.9, on 27.0 minutes a night against 20.8. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Ja'Kobe Walter plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 65.2 projected fantasy points to 50.1 for Ja'Kobe Walter.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJa'Kobe WalterPelle Larsson
Fantasy points per game16.721.7
Minutes20.827.0
PointsPTS7.610.9
ReboundsREB2.73.6
AssistsAST1.43.3
StealsSTL1.20.8
BlocksBLK0.20.2
Threes3PM1.50.8
Field goal %FG%43.4%47.4%
Free throw %FT%73.8%83.1%
TurnoversTO0.51.4
Games, 2025-267270

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Ja'Kobe WalterPelle Larsson
Fantasy points28.929.0
Points13.214.5
Rebounds4.64.8
Assists2.44.4
Steals2.11.0
Blocks0.40.3
Threes2.61.1
Turnovers0.91.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJa'Kobe WalterPelle Larsson
PointsPTS-1.5-1.0
ReboundsREB-1.4-1.0
AssistsAST-1.1-0.2
StealsSTL+0.4-0.8
BlocksBLK-0.9-0.9
Threes3PM-0.1-0.8
Field goal percentageFG%-0.5-0.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.3+0.3
TurnoversTO+1.7+0.6
Total-3.7-3.7

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting steals, threes and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Pelle Larsson.

PuntJa'Kobe WalterPelle Larsson
PTS-2.2 (#180)-2.8 (#202)
REB-2.5 (#165)-2.9 (#180)
AST-2.7 (#182)-3.6 (#222)
STL-4.2 (#252)-3.0 (#188)
BLK-3.0 (#166)-3.1 (#170)
3PM-3.6 (#210)-2.9 (#179)
FG%-3.5 (#174)-3.9 (#202)
FT%-3.5 (#195)-4.1 (#219)
TO-5.5 (#228)-4.5 (#191)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Ja'Kobe Walter: 3 games (Wed CHI, Fri @WAS, Sun @MIN).
  • Pelle Larsson: 3 games (Wed MIN, Fri DET, Sat @CHA), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Ja'Kobe Walter: 25.7 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 16.7 on the board.
  • Pelle Larsson: 20.3 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 21.7 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Ja'Kobe Walter playing tonight? · Is Pelle Larsson playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Pelle Larsson

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Ja'Kobe Walter or Pelle Larsson?

    Points leagues: Pelle Larsson. 21.7 fantasy points per game against 16.7, 173rd on our board to 250th. 9-cat leagues: Ja'Kobe Walter instead, -3.7 in summed z-scores against -3.7 (196th to 198th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Ja'Kobe Walter or Pelle Larsson?

    Category by category, Ja'Kobe Walter is ahead in 3 (STL, 3PM and TO) and Pelle Larsson in 5 (PTS, REB, AST, FG% and FT%).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Ja'Kobe Walter or Pelle Larsson?

    Ja'Kobe Walter plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Pelle Larsson 3. For that week alone, start Pelle Larsson: 65.2 projected fantasy points to 50.1 for Ja'Kobe Walter.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 25, 2026 at 2:29 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number