Jalen Brunson vs Tyler Herro: who to draft in 2026-27
Draft Jalen Brunson in points leagues (40.5 fantasy points a game to 33.7) and Tyler Herro in 9-cat leagues (48th against 49th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.
- Points leagues
- #26
- 40.5 FP/G, slot 3.02, $27
- 9-cat leagues
- #49
- +0.6 z, slot 5.01, $19
Day to day (Rest)
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #59
- 33.7 FP/G, slot 5.11, $17
- 9-cat leagues
- #48
- +0.6 z, slot 4.12, $19
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: draft Jalen Brunson. 40.5 fantasy points per game against 33.7, 26th on our board to 59th.
9-cat leagues: Tyler Herro instead, +0.6 in summed z-scores against +0.6 (48th to 49th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Jalen Brunson is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and 3PM) and Tyler Herro in 5 (REB, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Jalen Brunson produces more: 41.7 fantasy points to 38.7, on 35.0 minutes a night against 31.3. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Jalen Brunson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tyler Herro 3. For that week alone, start Jalen Brunson: 121.5 projected fantasy points to 101.1 for Tyler Herro.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jalen Brunson | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 40.5 | 33.7 |
| Minutes | 35.0 | 31.3 |
| PointsPTS | 26.0 | 20.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.3 | 4.8 |
| AssistsAST | 6.8 | 4.1 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| Field goal %FG% | 46.7% | 48.0% |
| Free throw %FT% | 84.1% | 91.7% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 74 | 33 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jalen Brunson | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 41.7 | 38.7 |
| Points | 26.8 | 23.6 |
| Rebounds | 3.4 | 5.5 |
| Assists | 7.0 | 4.7 |
| Steals | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Threes | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 2.2 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jalen Brunson | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +1.6 | +0.7 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.1 | -0.5 |
| AssistsAST | +1.5 | +0.2 |
| StealsSTL | -0.7 | -0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.2 | -0.7 |
| Threes3PM | +1.0 | +0.9 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.6 | -0.2 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.7 | +1.2 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.6 | -0.1 |
| Total | +0.6 | +0.6 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Jalen Brunson.
| Punt | Jalen Brunson | Tyler Herro |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.1 (#110) | -0.1 (#67) |
| REB | +1.8 (#25) | +1.3 (#34) |
| AST | -1.1 (#97) | +0.4 (#48) |
| STL | +1.2 (#32) | +1.5 (#27) |
| BLK | +1.9 (#27) | +1.4 (#32) |
| 3PM | -0.6 (#86) | -0.4 (#76) |
| FG% | +1.3 (#40) | +1.2 (#42) |
| FT% | -0.4 (#74) | -0.7 (#83) |
| TO | +1.3 (#45) | +0.7 (#52) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jalen Brunson: 3 games (Tue PHI, Fri @BOS, Sun ORL), listed DTD.
- Tyler Herro: 3 games (Wed @WAS, Fri CHI, Sat @PHI), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Jalen Brunson: 39.7 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 40.5 on the board.
- Tyler Herro: 32.3 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 33.7 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Common questions
Should I draft Jalen Brunson or Tyler Herro in 2026-27?
Points leagues: draft Jalen Brunson. 40.5 fantasy points per game against 33.7, 26th on our board to 59th. 9-cat leagues: Tyler Herro instead, +0.6 in summed z-scores against +0.6 (48th to 49th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Jalen Brunson or Tyler Herro?
Category by category, Jalen Brunson is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, STL and 3PM) and Tyler Herro in 5 (REB, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jalen Brunson or Tyler Herro?
Jalen Brunson plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tyler Herro 3. For that week alone, start Jalen Brunson: 121.5 projected fantasy points to 101.1 for Tyler Herro.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number