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Jalen Suggs vs Josh Hart: who to start in Week 1

Jalen Suggs plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Josh Hart 3. For that week alone, start Jalen Suggs: 93.2 projected fantasy points to 92.8 for Josh Hart. Over the season, Jalen Suggs leads in both formats: 31.1 fantasy points a game to 30.9, and 49th against 56th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET.

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Jalen Suggs
PGORLage 25
Points leagues
#74
31.1 FP/G, slot 7.02, $13
9-cat leagues
#49
+0.4 z, slot 5.01, $17

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Josh Hart
SGSFNYKage 31
Points leagues
#75
30.9 FP/G, slot 7.03, $13
9-cat leagues
#56
+0.1 z, slot 5.08, $16

The call

Points leagues: Jalen Suggs. 31.1 fantasy points per game against 30.9, 74th on our board to 75th.

9-cat leagues: Jalen Suggs again, +0.4 in summed z-scores against +0.1 (49th to 56th).

Category by category, Jalen Suggs is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Josh Hart in 3 (REB, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Jalen Suggs produces more: 39.6 fantasy points to 36.5, on 28.2 minutes a night against 30.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jalen Suggs plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Josh Hart 3. For that week alone, start Jalen Suggs: 93.2 projected fantasy points to 92.8 for Josh Hart.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJalen SuggsJosh Hart
Fantasy points per game31.130.9
Minutes28.230.5
PointsPTS13.312.0
ReboundsREB3.97.6
AssistsAST5.54.7
StealsSTL1.81.2
BlocksBLK0.70.3
Threes3PM1.91.6
Field goal %FG%43.1%49.4%
Free throw %FT%84.3%71.5%
TurnoversTO2.61.8
Games, 2025-265766

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jalen SuggsJosh Hart
Fantasy points39.636.5
Points17.014.1
Rebounds5.09.0
Assists7.05.6
Steals2.31.5
Blocks0.90.3
Threes2.51.9
Turnovers3.42.2

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJalen SuggsJosh Hart
PointsPTS-0.5-0.7
ReboundsREB-0.8+0.8
AssistsAST+1.0+0.6
StealsSTL+2.1+0.6
BlocksBLK-0.0-0.8
Threes3PM+0.3-0.1
Field goal percentageFG%-1.0+0.1
Free throw percentageFT%+0.3-0.5
TurnoversTO-1.0+0.0
Total+0.4+0.1

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting assists, steals, blocks, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Josh Hart.

PuntJalen SuggsJosh Hart
PTS+0.8 (#37)+0.7 (#39)
REB+1.2 (#34)-0.9 (#88)
AST-0.7 (#82)-0.6 (#77)
STL-1.8 (#131)-0.6 (#75)
BLK+0.3 (#53)+0.7 (#43)
3PM-0.1 (#63)+0.1 (#61)
FG%+1.4 (#37)-0.4 (#69)
FT%-0.0 (#59)+0.5 (#48)
TO+1.3 (#43)-0.1 (#63)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jalen Suggs: 3 games (Wed ATL, Fri MIN, Sun @NYK).
  • Josh Hart: 3 games (Tue PHI, Fri @BOS, Sun ORL).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Jalen Suggs: 27.2 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 31.1 on the board.
  • Josh Hart: 35.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 30.9 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jalen Suggs playing tonight? · Is Josh Hart playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Jalen Suggs

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jalen Suggs or Josh Hart?

    Points leagues: Jalen Suggs. 31.1 fantasy points per game against 30.9, 74th on our board to 75th. 9-cat leagues: Jalen Suggs again, +0.4 in summed z-scores against +0.1 (49th to 56th).

  • Who wins more categories, Jalen Suggs or Josh Hart?

    Category by category, Jalen Suggs is ahead in 6 (PTS, AST, STL, BLK, 3PM and FT%) and Josh Hart in 3 (REB, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jalen Suggs or Josh Hart?

    Jalen Suggs plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Josh Hart 3. For that week alone, start Jalen Suggs: 93.2 projected fantasy points to 92.8 for Josh Hart.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number